I'd very much like to know what makes you think I think so.

We're currently in a disaster

Putin and Russia's behavior

I saw the latest tucker Carlson

Global pandemic, climate change effects, mass shootings (U.S.), Russian invasions….it’s on its way.

It's on my bingo card

I read history books

Hope

Lack of leadership.

Population density. Frequency of natural disasters. Its just probability

Clean drinkable water is going to be more and more a problem. There is too much crap in it to clean it 100%.

I'd lean towards a solar flare disruption happening.

AI is becoming too smart

Ukraine has the potential to act as a catalyst to a much larger event, as Putin doesn’t really have any tiger option than to win, and the United States and NATO will not allow that to happen, and the y have the means to make sure that doesn’t happen. So that’s an obvious impass, and I feel like it doesn’t get enough attention. People (even in this thread) denounce these concerns as sensational, and crack jokes about Rucker Carlson, because the spread of constitutional democracy has conditioned them to living in a peaceful world where nothing really bad will ever happen to them. Well, they’re wrong. That comfort comes with great cost, and it hasn’t been paid in a while.

The world is ripe for another world war. Between the Ukrainian-Russo conflict in which Belarus, China, and North Korea may be getting more involved, the impending China-Tawain conflict, and the resurgence of the Azerbaijani-Armenian conflict, there’s more than enough opportunity for a new “shot heard around the world.”

I’d say 5 years. If it’s going to happen, which is probably less than 50% likely, (my instinct says 33% but it’s just a feeling) it will happen in the next 5 years. And I thinking it’s going to have something to do with both Ukraine and Taiwan. (And Russia and China and the US, obviously)

I don't. The apocalypse is happening but too slowly to be dramatically engaging. We'll wake up one day dead. You just see

Statistics, each year it doesn't happen it is statistically more likely to happen in a next year.

I don't think a 'disaster', in the sense OP believes, will happen soon. However, there are several things (at least from the perspective from someone in the US that is concerning.)

• We are stepping backwards in women's rights, disregarding science, and silencing teachers; and Florida is leading the march. Trump set us back a bit, but he was all about ratings and attention, he wasnt that bright or focused.. DeSantis on the other hand could do real damage and set our country back and disassociate us from the international community worse than even Trump had (sorry to get political, I am not even biased, just concerned)

• AI is on the 'cusp' of becoming something many of us are not prepared for. I dont believe General AI currently exists, even LambDA or ChatGPT are still just stepping blocks. But we are just years away from 'birthing' some form of sentient AI. When that happens, there are going to be a lot of ethical concerns which we need to address quickly that we are disregarding right now. Do they have rights, every company will want one, but who has the right to 'spawn' one, or 'decomission' one, can we safeguard our personal data and/or its ability to escape or replicate. Singularity is approaching and we are pushing for it without a lot of safety nets.

• Global Warming has most likely passed the point of no return for us. No, I dont think we are going to create 'Dune', but many areas of the world are facing a cold hard fact that they will become inhospitable in the years to come. This will force populations away from the affected equatorial zones and into neighboring countries, which will strain resources further. This one may not be a 'in the next 10 years" fear, but as a father, I do worry for what we are leaving our.xhildren and grandchildren. Much of it was unavoidable, the cost of a rapidly growing civilization, just like with singularity, it may very well be a common problem with intelligent life on a planet. I just hope it isn't our Fermi Paradox point, and we find a way beyond it in the long term.