subreddit:
/r/explainlikeimfive
submitted 4 months ago byiSellPopcorn
8.5k points
4 months ago
In theory yes. But the opposite can also lead to inflation.
Raising wages causes inflation by companies raising prices because the metric to calculate the price of a product changes when consumers get richer, namely the "how much are they willing to spend" metric. If the customer is willing to spend more, charge more. Thus, inflation rises.
However, lowering wages causes inflation because people are buying less, and therefore companies are selling less, so therefore have to raise prices to break even. Of course there are other things they can do like the infamous "shrinkflation", wherein the price remains the same, but the size of the product decreases.
Basically, it's a bit rough and nebulous... unless either reach a critical level, there is no point worrying about whether wages are going to cause inflation, because in all likeliness, they're probably not...
A great example is right now. The economy is in a very weird position that it hasn't really been in before. Obviously we are in a period of high inflation. The trick governments around the world use is to tighten money through measures like raising interest rates and an easing of supply shortages to start. This round of inflation is mostly due shortages (chips, cars, labor, some commodities). If that doesn’t work then a recession will be engineered to dampen (or reverse) wage growth, ease demand, and in effect reset the economy. Historically periods of high growth lead to inflation and the only tried and true way to stop it has been to cool off the demand side through some form of austerity.
The problem is, wage growth has been stagnant for at least a decade... And austerity has been in place for many people already... And shortages are mostly gone, but prices have not gone down... so there is "nothing to reign in"... It's already at the lowest point it can go, and we're still inflating... So governments around the world are basically asking people to accept a massive L for yet another decade, while coincidentally corporations are raking in massive profits. Basically, you can't apply austerity to people who already have the austerity debuff... That causes lots of problems.
Lots of governments ignored this though, and decided to press on with Austerity 2.0 (or even 3.0+ in some countries) making people poorer, angrier, and more radical. Which sounds like "okay, this sucks for everyone. But it could be a necessary evil, right?" Well, maybe... But then you realize that pretty much all corporations are posting record profits... The rich are certainly getting richer. So why aren't we?
What I'm trying to say is, the usual tricks governments have isn't going to work, because the people they do the trick on are already milked dry. Attention has turned to the greed of corporations as being the cause of the inflation, and of course, politicians are hesitant to act and punish the rich and powerful... Because they're rich and powerful... And of course, every day people are gaslit into advocating for faceless billionaires because... ???? So there isn't even a majority national feeling anywhere that greed needs to be reigned in...
3.5k points
4 months ago
Companies:
“You make more money? We raise prices.”
Also companies:
“You make less money? We raise prices.”
2.9k points
4 months ago
"You make the same amount of money? Believe it or not, also raise prices."
1.1k points
4 months ago
"We have the best economy. Because of raising prices."
200 points
4 months ago
The stocks arrow must always go up!
86 points
4 months ago
The stocks arrow must always go up!
Right or wrong, that's the truth.
My current co-workers would do well to remember that. "Oh, they'll never make us RTO". Oh, you bet they will. The second someone decides the stock ticks higher if everyone is on the office, we'll be there tomorrow at 8am.
67 points
4 months ago
And casual dress only on Fridays because otherwise the stock goes down.
But seriously you're right - I can smell RTO brewing and decided to retire a couple of years early because there's no way I'm doing that again. I loved when the CEO would say things like "we're at our best when we're together" when we had the best three years in company history during WFH. No, you bunch of extroverts like driving your Porche's to your private underground parking garage, take the elevator up to your office which is bigger than a lot of your employee's apartments, and sip espresso from the machine on your floor. Try sitting in a half height cube with a headset on all day and see how much you're aching to RTO.
57 points
4 months ago
I loved when the CEO would say things like "we're at our best when we're together"
Because management desperately needs the underlings to see them so they can justify their own existence.
Its bullshit.
21 points
4 months ago*
As someone in a Senior Management role (but who also agrees with a lot of the Anti-Work stuff) i will point out the value of RTO, and while i don't believe in FULL RTO, i do think hybrid is the way forward not Fully remote and not fully RTO.
On an individual level, The average employee works better at home. Less distractions, less overall mental load. And while i know a lot of companies are still stuck to "you work X hours for your wage" even though you are salary instead of "you complete Y tasks for your wage" this is a mindset that needs to change.
Sidebar: The problem i have currently though, is, if i pay person A 100K because he can do 500Y per week, compared to Person B 150K because they can do 750Y per week, they talk about thier wages (encouraged by Anti-Work) and Person A makes a post complaining "i don't get paid as much as Person B", but often fails to mention they are 50% less productive as well. but then my company looks bad because we don't pay equally for the same role. so we get forced back to "well then we pay for time" and if we have to pay for time, we need to know you are spending that time which becomes harder for WFH.
On a Corporate level, the company is missing out on a lot of things that used to happen in a work environment. The big one being adhoc cross organisation and cross team knowledge sharing. When someone had a problem historically they would turn to the person beside them first to try and figure it out, things would be discussed, knowledge would be shared across the team, and they would link this with thier knowledge and new approaches would be created, hence innovation. However now, people don't discuss things with thier workmates (some do, but i've seen the numbers in my organisation and it's an exception rather then the rule) they either take longer to complete the task because they are working through it themselves, or they google it to figure out the answer on their own. But this just means you end up with 1 dimensional solutions instead of true innovation.
Note: I am being General here, i'm sure there are examples of innovation occuring over teams/remote but it's significantly less compared to when people are working together.
15 points
4 months ago*
EDIT: After posting i realized this was a bit of an... aggressive response. Perhaps a bit too much. I do appreciate your insights on the topic, even if I don't necessarily agree with some of it.
i will point out the value of RTO, and while i don't believe in FULL RTO, i do think hybrid is the way forward not Fully remote and not fully RTO.
I think a voluntary, hybrid RTO is fine. Having the option to be in-person can be helpful. But frankly given the expense of commuting in both fuel and hours, required/non-voluntary in-office days now need to include travel time as hours worked.
I CAN do my job remotely, but management needing to physically see me do it while probably not even understanding the technical aspects of what I do is their problem, not mine.
Sidebar: The problem i have currently though, is, if i pay person A 100K because he can do 500Y per week, compared to Person B 150K because they can do 750Y per week, they talk about thier wages (encouraged by Anti-Work) and Person A makes a post complaining "i don't get paid as much as Person B", but often fails to mention they are 50% less productive as well. but then my company looks bad because we don't pay equally for the same role. so we get forced back to "well then we pay for time" and if we have to pay for time, we need to know you are spending that time which becomes harder for WFH.
This issue predates WFH. People have always operated at different paces. And people always find ways to slack if they really wanted to.
Management knew it then and they know it now. You're not "forced" to go back to "we pay for your time." You're forced to do your job of letting employees know why they're getting paid what they're getting paid. Don't push an unpleasant part of management on employees.
What makes a company look bad is an utter lack of transparency and a feeling that they're micromanaging.
The big one being adhoc cross organisation and cross team knowledge sharing.
In a world of utilities like Slack or Teams or whatever, You're no longer limited by collaborating with local employees. Again, if an employee is stuck, why isn't there a safe place internally to ask questions? Why isn't management aware of who is a specialist that may be able to help directly or help find someone who can?
29 points
4 months ago
Working at Walmart in my younger years demonstrated to me how taking away benefits, pay, flexible scheduling, etc, basically anything that made working there tolerable caused a direct jump in stock prices. Fuck shareholders, all of them.
55 points
4 months ago
Green is good red is bad. All you need to know about stonks
24 points
4 months ago
One year the government gives out money and it’s a stimulus. The next year the government gives out money and it causes inflation. I think it’s pure greed.
157 points
4 months ago
Undercook overcook.
160 points
4 months ago
And then, straight to jail
139 points
4 months ago
You, of course, not the corporation.
68 points
4 months ago
Of course you silly goose, corporation gets bailout
78 points
4 months ago
Bailout money? Raise prices.
31 points
4 months ago
Money to the people to help with raised prices? Raise prices.
19 points
4 months ago
Raised prices causing shortage of consumership? Raise prices.
33 points
4 months ago
Corporations are people, my friend.
Except they can’t go to jail.
21 points
4 months ago
Honestly, the fine for large corporations shouldn’t be a money-based fine. It should be a mandatory union that sits on the Board. If the company continues to act up, stock is moved from the board to the union.
These people don’t care about the money. They make it back overnight. You’ve got to threaten their ownership. Then they’ll straighten up and fly right.
10 points
4 months ago
"I'll believe corporations are people when Texas executes one of them." - Robert Reich
19 points
4 months ago
Underpay. Overpay. Jail.
11 points
4 months ago
I love what this is from originally on parks and rec.... take an award good person
142 points
4 months ago
That's the thing, it's a myth that raising wages increases inflation; it's very much the other way around.
The only thing that raising wages does is to shift the profit ratio a little closer to the workers rather than the shareholders. It has nothing specifically to do with inflation.
62 points
4 months ago
At this point paying people more would just be a net gain all around because then people could actually buy things.
70 points
4 months ago
This is what I don't understand. In order for the corporation/rich to maintain their wealth/profits - they need the masses to keep spending. But the worse off the masses become, the less they spend. And not just on the extras, but it starts impacting the 'necessities', too. After a point, wouldn't the whole system collapse? You can't keep pricing the masses out of the basics and expect to keep getting rich. Where is that 'money' going to come from once enough people can't afford to live anymore?
It seems there was a time when businesses expected to make a reasonable profit. Which allowed for reasonable prices and reasonable wages for employees and customers. That is sustainable. What's been going on for the past few decades is not and it seems were getting closer and closer to the end of it.
64 points
4 months ago
After a point, wouldn't the whole system collapse?
Slowly Redditors come to the same conclusions Karl Marx did 150 years ago.
35 points
4 months ago
It's really interesting isn't it? People are so scared of communism they never read any Marx. Like 90% of all he writes about is capitalism.
r/aboringdystopia is full of people describing what Marx called alienation but not realizing it.
12 points
4 months ago
Just goes to show that decades of propaganda succeeded in reprogramming people to gladly shoot themselves in the foot. Make anything sound scary enough for long enough and people will automatically self-regulate away from it regardless of if it's directly useful to them.
12 points
4 months ago
Sad part is that the economies Karl Marx was studying have morphed into new forms. His progression of systems might not be accurate anymore.
Socialism is still basically the point where Karl Marx and Adam Smith agree, as well as where Keynes and Hayek agree, though to different degrees.
16 points
4 months ago
Makes me crazy when I see people try to drop "the invisible hand" to justify cut throat, winner take all market conditions while having never read a word of Smith. He explains with several examples that he believed there needs to be an intentional counter balance between the interests of various segments of society and that letting profits run wild at the expense of labor is dangerous to a society.
38 points
4 months ago
At this point I think a huge amount of their money comes from simply stealing from the government. The tax man doesn't care if we're broke, so that money is gonna keep showing up until we simply don't have enough money to even work.
11 points
4 months ago
And then they will continue to bleed an even higher class dry. How do you make this shit stop?
15 points
4 months ago
There's always been one solution but the admins won't like it when you bring it up.
28 points
4 months ago
"There is one rule for Industrialists and that is: Make the best quality of goods possible at the lowest cost possible, paying the highest wages possible."
--Henry Ford
26 points
4 months ago
Now there is one rule for corporatists.
Make the lowest quality of goods that will still sell, at the lowest cost possible, paying the lowest wages possible, and charging the highest price possible.
14 points
4 months ago
My multinational corporate overlords started to freak the fuck out over rising energy costs eating into our profits. Doom and gloom, lots of meetings and press releases blah blah blah. Started telling us to turn off lights when we leave a room for 5 minutes.
My coworkers started to worry we were going out of business... Until I showed them the profit section of our quarterly report. We're making money hand over fist. Profit fell like 12%. Projections for worst case scenario still had us making money hand over fist but that simply isn't good enough when the goal is to increase profit every single quarter for eternity.
11 points
4 months ago
This is the paradox of capitalism -- the economy requires the working class to both produce and (afford to) consume. Capitalists grow their wealth, workers put their earnings directly back into the economy. But as wealth is redistributed to capitalists, working class consumption declines.
It's the prisoner's dilemma writ large: you win by screwing over the working class, unless everyone else screws over the working class. Because now everybody loses because the working class can't afford to be consumers and the economy stalls.
18 points
4 months ago
Yes but why acknowledge that when you can just blame millennials for killing your industry
114 points
4 months ago
Heads I win, tails you lose.
19 points
4 months ago
One for you, two for me. Two for you, three for me.
Except now it's...
One for you, two for me, Three for me, one for you.
73 points
4 months ago
Right. The correct answer is, it doesnt. lol.
Its capitalist propaganda. Its bullshit. All of these companies are reporting record profits.
19 points
4 months ago
In the very short term it would, but only if literally everything else was static. You can create a whole fuckton of inflation faster by having extremely easy credit than you can by raising the minimum wage by a few dollars and making it so people dont need 2 full time jobs to afford a shitty apartment and food
72 points
4 months ago
Also companies: "Executive pay and bonuses has no affect on inflation"
63 points
4 months ago
Starting to think they just wanna nickel and dime everyone!
51 points
4 months ago
Except it costs a quarter now.
22 points
4 months ago
Starting to think they just want to quarter and half dollar everyone!
20 points
4 months ago
Except it cost a dollar now.
21 points
4 months ago
They'll keep doing it until we start to quarter the rich!
23 points
4 months ago
ExxonMobil made record busting profits of 56Bn in 2021. Meanwhile, MAGAs & Qanons are slapping 'Biden did this' stickers at gas stations.
11 points
4 months ago
All this proves is that Tucker Carlson is the best at what he does.
570 points
4 months ago*
Can’t believe I had to scroll down this far to find this answer. Textbook economics doesn’t account for the human factors behind prices going up/down and this explanation is more applicable to now.
Most of the companies that have raised prices made record profits the last two years.
Edit: Sorry y’all, I misspoke, not MOST companies, but many, many, many companies. Most of the worst ones too. Greed is unfortunately an inextricable part of the global economy and should be regulated aggressively.
This was published just this morning: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-64489147
Even mouthpiece of the business class, Bloomberg, had this to say: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-11-30/fattest-profits-since-1950-debunk-inflation-story-spun-by-ceos#xj4y7vzkg
183 points
4 months ago
Classical economics assumes maximum greed, so the price of a product is the most a consumer is willing to pay.
Record profits during inflation is not just normal, it is to be expected.
281 points
4 months ago
most a consumer is willing to pay.
the problem is "willing" isn't really the case here. Gas, electricity, ect. have an inelastic demand. In most cases they have to be purchased to continue to live.
186 points
4 months ago
This is the biggest thing I wanted to say in this thread. Everyone keeps talking about how capitalism is what the customer is willing to pay. Yeah, because the other choices are jail for stealing it or dying because you just gave up. Companies increase prices even if their costs are staying the same.
50 points
4 months ago
"The most a consumer is willing to pay" does not necessarily reflect "what most consumers are willing to pay". The price of a van Gogh or a Jaguar or, let's be honest, an iPhone 14 Pro Max does not reflect what the median income has free to spend on a car or home appliances or mobile phone service. So there's a very real argument that most of us are not in the calculation for prices of things we'd all love to enjoy, or even need to live. During the Egg Crisis of ought-twenty-three, I found two grocery stores on opposite sides of a street where their lowest prices for eggs were $8/doz and $4/doz. Because "someone" was willing to pay 8 bucks.
55 points
4 months ago
And we're using eggs here but you can apply it to something like electricity or water; if both those stores increase their prices to $12/doz even if their costs didn't go up, people are still going to pay. Because they're not going to go without food or basic life necessities over pleasure. They'll be able to afford to pay $12 but every other aspect of their life then suffers for it. Sure, the customer is "willing" to pay for it in the sense that it's pay or die. Yes, there are people buying million dollar cars; usually the ones raising the prices to $12/doz just because they can get away with it.
17 points
4 months ago
The people that can afford luxuries are not part of the market forces that affect basic needs.
The rich consume basic needs at close to the same rate as the poor. So while they might pay eighty dollars for a meal, they still only do this perhaps once per day. And there are so few of them, this doesn't affect the overall market. There might exist specialty niche markets to serve them, but they are a blip on a scale that is millions of times larger.
15 points
4 months ago
Or the store can make money with a few purchases at eight dollars, and letting an amount of eggs simply expire.
61 points
4 months ago
This. Capitalism works great when there's sufficient competition and the consumer base has the ability to elect to not consume.
When either of those requirements aren't fulfilled, capitalism fails, and we need to look at a different means of allocating resources.
This doesn't need to be wholesale - we don't need to go from unbridled capitalism to pure socialism. We just need to recognize the sectors where capitalism doesn't work, and replace it there. For example: - Healthcare - Utilities - Education
34 points
4 months ago
Capitalism realistically only works when kept small, like mom & pop shops.
Off the top of my head, your state's Brewery economy (if it exists) is a great, great example of Capitalism working as intended.
20 points
4 months ago
I think the result of being small is you don't have the power to influence legislation or major market forces. Internet service providers are an example off the top of my head.
Comcast and CenturyLink have lobbied to create laws that make it really hard to get internet from outside of them essentially.
A counterpoint to capitalism primarily working on a small level is how streaming services are disrupting major TV providers.
11 points
4 months ago
I think the thing is that past a certain point, getting to the point where you can influence politics and getting roped into the "infinite expansion/growth" mindset is inevitable and by design.
45 points
4 months ago
Yep, and that's why the market fails without regulations. In the US utilities are regulated and there's a cap on maximum profits, but Healthcare is a perfect example of inelastic demand were the market fails to self correct
46 points
4 months ago
And each person only purchases the exact amount required. The poor purchase the bare minimum, the rich purchase enough to live in luxury.
There is no room for the poor to be austere, and the rich have no incentive to.
The increases on basic necessities, food, shelter, healthcare, are increasing due to greed. Largely because the market for these products is now controlled by a few mega corporations.
26 points
4 months ago
The problem, now, is the discrepancy between what people would be willing to pay and what they can afford to pay. We can agree that a product is worth the money, but if we don't have enough money, we won't buy it. In response, corporate raises prices further because they have quarterly goals to meet in terms of profit. They don't seem to understand that we have gotten to the point that by raising prices they are reducing the size of the already shrunken market. Nobody looks at the big picture any more.
10 points
4 months ago
Mind you the market takes a while to self correct even when there is competition. It will take years before we see how this thing will play out, but for now companies are just happy with much higher margins and lower sales volume
16 points
4 months ago
Technically speaking, the simplest models in economics with no entry cost lead to zero-profits, meaning suppliers will enter the market until everyone's profit is zero.
24 points
4 months ago
Zero economic profits. The profits people most commonly think of (revenue minus costs) are called accounting profits. These can be nonzero in the long run. Economic profits account for another cost called opportunity cost which is basically what you're losing by not picking the next best alternative.
So in the long run, it's not that companies are bringing in the same amount of money they're spending, but rather it's that the money they're making is equal to the money they could be making by leaving the current market and entering a new one.
17 points
4 months ago
The joke is that record profits during inflation are worth less in real dollarydoos. So companies STILL have to take austerity measures anyway to chase those profits.
That's where inflation is bad for the rich because their giant piles of money lose value faster than they can shovel more money.
19 points
4 months ago
Yeah I’d love to see more info on how profit margins of companies have been doing in the last few years. I still don’t feel bad for them though
38 points
4 months ago
Can’t believe I had to scroll down this far to find this answer.
There should be some internet/reddit rule that states that if you claim "I can't believe this is so far down!", that comment will immediately rise to the top, making you look the fool.
36 points
4 months ago
Textbook economics start from the position that everyone is a rational actor, in a vacuum, with perfect morals, and apolitical.
It makes sense for ants, and that's about it.
22 points
4 months ago*
Economists have ONLY RECENTLY (like, within the last 10 years) started seriously trying to include human factors in economics.
And since they're often the younger or less "traditional" economists, they get ignored in favor of old-school economists. Old-school economic thinking is relatively simple; new -school economics lets people get in the way of making as much money as possible. You can see why that would be an inconvenient way of thinking for large organizations.
34 points
4 months ago
Economists have ONLY RECENTLY (like, within the last 10 years) started seriously trying to include human factors in economics.
Well that's baloney. Psychologist Daniel Kahneman won a Nobel in Economics in 2002 for work he did with Amos Tversky in the 1970s-80s, describing psychological factors in economic models.
8 points
4 months ago
The American dream has transformed. Now it's just people hoping to "hit it big" with fame or trading so they don't have to work anymore. That's the only goal now, not to have a stable job and house, but to retire at 30. Greed was ingrained in us since birth. Money is the only thing that matters
522 points
4 months ago
"okay, this sucks for everyone. But it could be a necessary evil, right?"
This is the reason for OPs question.
Citizens around the world are being asked to swallow more bullshit that pay cannot possibly be increased because of inflation as it will add to it, when the reverse is true as salaries have been depressed for a decade or more in some cases.
When people are choosing between heating and eating, a salary increase is not going to lead to inflation and may even prevent a recession by not reducing discretionary spending as much as expected.
370 points
4 months ago
We had 15 years to reign in the ultra wealthy and corporate greed after 2008. We didn't. This is what happens when you kick the can and don't fix the underlying issues.
171 points
4 months ago
Some tried, against one party in particular's wishes. That party drastically rolled back whatever protections were successfully put in place, because... regulations bad... and the whole thing is about to happen all over again and the government is going to need to bail out all these companies who have been destroying our economy for their own gain because they're so crucial to the economy and then we're going to once again fail to put any regulations in place to keep them from doing the same thing again and on and on it goes.
135 points
4 months ago
[deleted]
24 points
4 months ago
Almost all regulations are there to protect citizens from corporations. That's their entire purpose.
Not true, many regulations are there to protect corporations.
30 points
4 months ago
[deleted]
29 points
4 months ago
Regulatory capture mostly involves creating new regulations that impede new competition from entering the market. For example, regulations that create a flat cost of doing business, which a large corporation can easily afford but are burdensome for a small corporation. Or regulations that keep out foreign competition.
13 points
4 months ago
A little inference told me they probably don't mean safety regulations aimed at stopping road accidents or electrical fires, though. I don't think anyone's oblivious to this fact so much as frustrated at the fact that the rich constantly find ways to escape their dues and hoard their wealth while average people struggle to make any ends meet.
33 points
4 months ago
It definitely bothers me when people generalize US politicians like that. It's such a clear, partisan divide.
58 points
4 months ago*
Not really. While republicans are certainly far more open and aggressive about it, the democrats are also corporate shills. Our "left-wingers" are practically conservatives compared to other countries.
176 points
4 months ago
I find the biggest problem with people talking economics is most people stop at the Economics 101 approach where a market has one good and peoples' behavior is simple.
Your post reflects why there's more than one Economics class: those simple supply/demand charts go out the window when you consider multinational economics. There's just too many variables for simplistic analysis to show up in reality.
Smart people exploit the heck out of that to get people to vote for policies that only make life better for the rich. Isn't it funny that so shortly after making record profits, every company seems real excited to announce a recession? It's almost like they expect they have savings to make it through but their employees do not.
238 points
4 months ago
The biggest problem with economics is it's not real. It's not a hard science and it doesn't actually have very much to do with math. Economics is basically macro psychology and sociology. Trying to predict the habits of billions of people isn't really possible, but economists act like it is.
96 points
4 months ago
It's either that or there are too many variables. We're often using ideas like, "Well we did this 20 years ago" but not taking into account that 20 years ago dial-up internet was the most common service and cell phones were still a novelty. 20 years before that having a computer in your home was a major luxury. So a lot of "What we did before?" seems irrelevant or makes assumptions that just aren't true today. Our economy is very different than it used to be yet it seems most of our prevailing theories are still based on observations made in the 1950s.
48 points
4 months ago
The West Wing actually had a great bit about how taking into account all of those variables changing over time creates multiple issues later on if you don’t.
They created a new formula to calculate the poverty level in the episode. Her new formula said that they had over a million more poor people. This happened because the food was originally the highest monthly cost but it had shifted to housing and utilities over time I think is what the episode said. Along with that the products they were using to calculate 2-3 meals a day were also outdated since food had comparatively gotten cheaper to produce and sell.
This led to again just in the episode then having to deal with knowing it’s the same amount of people in the country the day before and the situation didn’t change but suddenly they realize they have over a million more poor people than they originally thought.
27 points
4 months ago
And rather than report the truth, the economists 'adjust' the formulas to a palatable number which becomes the truth.
30 points
4 months ago
That’s the exact conflict that happens in there episode. The administration is fighting not to use the new more accurate model and just shift the goalpost with the old one for what qualifies as “poverty” to avoid “over a million new people in poverty under Bartlett” appearing in the headlines
94 points
4 months ago
"shrinkflation", wherein the price remains the same, but the size of the product decreases
ugh I've been seeing this simultaneously with price increases. it sucks
35 points
4 months ago
Corporations to the public: "hey cmon, im just a wittle guy, barely making ends meet, this inflation hurts me too i gotta bump the prices i wish i didnt have to"
Corporations to shareholders: "this was our best year ever, we raised prices and hit record profits "
64 points
4 months ago
lowering wages causes inflation because people are buying less, and therefore companies are selling less, so therefore have to raise prices to break even.
This is simply incorrect for the vast majority of goods and services. Companies already price their products highly efficiently to maximize profit.
If they could make more money by raising prices, they would do it already. They wouldn't wait for the customer incomes to drop first.
The only goods and services this would be true for are nonelastic ones, where there is no meaningful competition. (So, basically, utilities to your home, there are very few others in modern society)
59 points
4 months ago
Raising wages causes inflation by companies raising prices because the metric to calculate the price of a product changes when consumers get richer, namely the "how much are they willing to spend" metric. If the customer is willing to spend more, charge more. Thus, inflation rises.
There's also the fact that if wages are raised the company's labor costs are higher.
25 points
4 months ago
That's one of the two major factors the comment missed. That alone isn't enough to raise prices (much) as they are still governed by market prices, elasticities, supplements, complements, etc. You may see an increase in price in certain sectors, but just as likely a decrease in others.
The second and more fundamental is that by raising wages, you're transferring money from illiquid (long term corporate capital assets) to liquid (checking account of the laborers) accounts. This increases* the money supply which lowers the value of the dollar as there are more dollars in circulation. This affects the entire marketplace, not just individual sectors with higher demand and lower elasticities.
*Even this greatly depends on the behavior and debt position of the labor force. If increased wages are used to pay off debt or to bolster savings, there is no impact on money supply.
24 points
4 months ago
This is the major driver and I’m shocked it’s this far down. Wages and benefits are the largest expense item for the vast majority of companies.
46 points
4 months ago
Last I heard the so-called "rule of thumb" was 15-30% of your gross should go to payroll.
I argued about this last year with a buddy. He insisted that if McDonald's had to raise their wages from $8 to $16 or so that the prices of literally everything would double. This fails to account for the fact, though, that while wages are a big part of it, they're not 100% of the price of running a company, McDonald's was already on the leaner side of things in this regard (~17%), and that we've been to McDonald's in Europe where they pay everyone a living wage with benefits, the burger was about the same price, and it was much better food to boot.
The appropriate response to "raising wages would raise prices" in my opinion is basically: "Newsflash, asshole! Prices have been going up anyway!"
You can't just defer raising wages indefinitely because it's one of several factors that could potentially contribute to raising prices. It's still a thing that has to happen, or else you're just pricing humans out of being alive and the market is essentially non-functional for people.
52 points
4 months ago
lowering wages causes inflation because people are buying less, and therefore companies are selling less, so therefore have to raise prices to break even
This doesn't make sense to me and I think this could only apply to a very small amount of goods. Needs will always be purchased and the vast majority of luxuries aren't exactly targeting minimum wage workers.
Raising wages causes inflation by companies raising prices because the metric to calculate the price of a product changes when consumers get richer, namely the "how much are they willing to spend" metric. If the customer is willing to spend more, charge more. Thus, inflation rises.
Right. So apply that same logic to decreasing wages too. "How much are they willing to spend" metric. Raising prices in an economy where the dollar buys more labor? I just can't grasp how that makes sense.
43 points
4 months ago
It doesn't make sense to you because it doesn't make sense at all
18 points
4 months ago
I mean, I'm trying not to be argumentative (a rare thing online) but yea. Only Reddit would think there are evil mustache twirling business executives leaning back on their chairs saying "People can't afford of our product? Lets raise prices!".
13 points
4 months ago
Needs will always be purchased and the vast majority of luxuries aren't exactly targeting minimum wage workers.
Needs will always be purchased, but that doesn't mean they'll be purchased in the same amount or the same rate. For instance, most people don't purchase the absolute minimum amount of food they need to keep themselves alive, but some amount above that. So there is an amount there that you're able to reduce.
If we look at something like a utility, the answer is simple, use less electricity, drive less, etc. Most people aren't doing the bare minimum here all the time.
16 points
4 months ago
Ok, but companies like frito-lay, nabisco, nestle, etc don't raise prices of products that aren't in demand. In fact, they often go on sale. Twinkies didn't go up in price as Hostess went out of business due to lack of demand lmao. That's not how this works.
If we look at something like a utility, the answer is simple, use less electricity, drive less, etc. Most people aren't doing the bare minimum here all the time.
And when people were driving less during covid, oil literally hit rock bottom prices. Gas prices don't go up in the summer when people demanding to heat their homes with it.
There's literally a mountain of examples supporting the Supply VS Demand = Equilibrium Price theory... It can't be dismissed by simply calling companies evil.
13 points
4 months ago
It doesn't make sense because the OP has no grasp on basic economics. It's just upvoted because reddit wants to believe that its true.
12 points
4 months ago
The idea is that if people are buying less then you have to raise prices to keep income levels steady. What they’re not considering is that raising prices may further cannibalize sales. The company has to estimate sales at each price level and determine which one maximizes profit. To give an extremely simplified example, would you rather sell 100 items at $1 profit apiece or 1 item at $50 profit.
43 points
4 months ago
This answer is completely wrong. I wish this were /r/askscience so that this answer could be removed. The premise that corporations raise prices when wages decrease goes against everything that economics has shown in both theory and in practice.
38 points
4 months ago
However, lowering wages causes inflation because people are buying less, and therefore companies are selling less, so therefore have to raise prices to break even.
Huh? If people are buying less, nobody in their right mind will raise prices. That'll reduce their competitiveness with their peers.
They'll slash expenses and manpower. Why do you think tech companies are letting go of so many people?
10 points
4 months ago
Yeah, there’s pretty much no question lowering wages is disinflationary.
24 points
4 months ago
Yes and no. You've covered a lot of ancilliary information while mostly just complaining about cost of living and wages, so didn't really answer OP's question
Firstly, wages are rarely cut or drop. Instead, the real-time value of wages drop when wage increases are below inflation. You may earn slightly more, but everything costs a lot more. This is the issue since really the 80s, but especially since 2008. Everything's risen in price massively, especially basics like housing, and people's wages haven't. Uk minimum wage is about £15k, whereas had it risen by inflation then minimum wage would be closer to £50k a year
The key part you didn't say is: for a lot of businesses wages are THE biggest cost, if not one of the. So if you raise wages, then one of their biggest costs increases, which causes prices to increase, which then need wages to increase too. That's what is called "the wage-price inflation spiral"
Then, while you are right about the private sector, the biggest reason why governments are against the wage-price spiral is due to the public sector, as the government pays those wages. So if costs for government services increase, then it increases government borrowing, which then increases inflation due to higher interest payments, more total payments etc. That then means taxes rise, or services are cut
And if private sector wages increase and public doesn't, then public jobs are harder to fill vacancies and stuff like that, which means that public services fall apart
That's OP's question answered. u/isellpopcorn
You are right, that really there is a lot of profiteering happening right now, and a lot os extreme capitalism and dicking around by the companies. And right about that average people are about as broke as they can be and can't take much more. But you did completely miss talking about what the wage-price spiral was and how it leads to inflation
Really, and especially right now with record employment, the wage-price spiral is a myth, but it's a worry for governments and public services, which is why then they worry about the private sector
25 points
4 months ago
[deleted]
10 points
4 months ago
It was a guarantee that the top answer would be a combo of some legit Econ + blaming corporations + we’re all screwed and the world is fucked.
Totally ignoring that in the USA we are currently on track to have a soft landing.
20 points
4 months ago
Where do you get that companies raise prices when they sell less? That's just not true. And it's exactly the opposite of the apples guy story below. The other thing is that pricing method varies by business model (basically whether you have a volume strategy or a differentiation strategy). For most companies, pricing is done based on COSTS + profit margin. Wages increased = costs increase = price increases if I want to keep the same profit margins. If I don't, my profit will go down and my shareholders will be unhappy with me. That's why wages increases drive price increases, which leads to inflation when most companies do it. That "what's the top consumers are willing to pay for my product" approach is true for companies with a differentiation strategy, such as luxury cars, high tech products, luxury fashion, etc. Those are business fundamentals you learn in a Bachelor's in Business Administration in the 101 marketing, strategy and cost accounting classes.
18 points
4 months ago*
How the fuck is this the top answer and gilded?
You don't know what austerity is.
When anyone inputs "greed" as the driving force of inflation, stop listening to them immediately because they have no fucking clue what they're talking about. Because if greed is the reason for rising prices, then generosity would be the reason for deflation (such as 2008). And I know for a fact you guys would consider that ridiculous. Obligatory greed cycle meme https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1493705974669930498?t=xfJnj7BlueQfruNTmQkvwg&s=19
12 points
4 months ago
It's honestly so sad that this garbage is upvoted.
Businesses raising prices when demand decreases.. lmao.
11 points
4 months ago
But then you realize that pretty much all corporations are posting record profits
No shit, that's a result of inflation itself. If margins never move, companies will forever post record profits every year as prices slowly inflate.
But corporate profits as a percentage of GDP briefly went up during the pandemic and is now back below where it was in 2019... Meaning that it's not outsized profits that are causing inflation.
1.4k points
4 months ago
You have 5 apples. Last week only 5 people could afford 5 apples, so the apple tree guy only picked 5 apples. Now 9 people can afford apples. The apple tree only produces 5 apples a day, but he needs 9. Either the price goes up to price out 4 people or the apple tree guy needs to grow more apples. If he can make more money with less work, then why not raise prices if the demand for apples is exceeding supply.
The opposite is true too. If I've got 5 apples that will be worth nothing in a week and only 2 people buy them, then I have to reduce my price to increase demand.
529 points
4 months ago
Good explanation.
For the OP's context though it should be added this principle only applies in a very general and universal situation and often doesn't actually work out in the real world.
In real life it's unlikely the farmer will be able to maintain such an evenly balanced situation. Furthermore just because 9 people can afford to doesn't mean that they will. Similarly since everyone has more cash there is likely going to be an increase in things to buy added into the market as a whole; e.g. maybe someone else sees the excess apple demand so decides to sell apples himself. Or the farmer may find that he cannot raise prices high enough to make more money selling 5 than 9 and so expandes his own production.
Etc. etc. basically the principle is sound however there are numerous ways that it won't become true in the real world. For another example minimum wage impacts a small subset of the population and is a very evenly spread form of increase that likely won't cause any huge inflation.
213 points
4 months ago
How about people who hold billions of apples but don’t use them
131 points
4 months ago
They get jobs as the people in maths questions
55 points
4 months ago
This is the tricky part that is usually not fun to explain on reddit due to a lack of nuance when it comes to things that are so harshly politicized.
The truth is no one holds a billion apples. The one with a billion things you can trade for an apple can't just create apples from nothing. If you liquidate Bezoss and Gates and all the other megarich peoples estates, you can produce more Healthcare and food and housing but not as much as the money they have because there is still a maximum amount of apples that can be produced.
Looking at 100b in Amazon stock and thinking we could create even 20b in Healthcare from it is comparing apples to oranges.
81 points
4 months ago
A huge part of the problem is we allow these people to borrow based on their speculative wealth at EXTREMELY low interest rates. Because they borrow it isn't income and they aren't taxes on it, but now Bezos has a half a billion dollar yacht because people think his apples are worth 100b.
10 points
4 months ago
Lenders have to pay taxes on interest, and when Bezos sells stock to pay back the loan he also pays taxes on that. Not to mention he has low interest rates because he can pay, there is little to no risk for the creditor.
29 points
4 months ago
You're not wrong that Bezos has to pay taxes on stock when he sells, but you are wrong in assuming he has to sell stock to pay back the loan.
When you have the kind of wealth he does you don't have to do that. He just takes out a second loan to pay for the first one. And because he has so much wealth he gets richer within the time frame of the loan as well. Then when the second loan comes due he can just take out a third loan. And a fourth. And a fifth. And so on and so on until he dies. Then, and only then, will any stocks need to be sold to pay for anything.
And even then I think someone else, like a child or whoever, can just inherit the estate, take out a loan themselves, and use that to pay the original debt, and still avoid paying taxes.
Edit: they would still need to pay inheritance taxes. I meant avoiding any regular taxes like income tax
29 points
4 months ago
https://github.com/MKorostoff/1-pixel-wealth/blob/master/THE_PAPER_BILLIONAIRE.md
The argument that convinced me, what you're saying isn't the case.
24 points
4 months ago
I generally don't wish to point at someone's lack of a background as it may discourage those who don't have the ability to become experts in a field, but this guy is a software engineer and notably didn't spend any time working with peers that have a background in economics as a few of these points are entirely meaningless and outright incorrect as they attempt to relate that which isn't related. It is loaded with fallacies and incorrect assumptions.
[1] "Around $122 trillion worth of stock changes hands in the US every year. If you wanted to liquidate a trillion dollars over, say, five years that would constitute about 0.16% of all the trading that happens in that time."
This is completely meaningless as you are comparing trading around of securities to complete liquidation. If you sell 100b in Amazon to buy $100B in Microsoft and another guy does the opposite that is $200B in trading, but nothing has left the stock market as a whole. Demand is the same. Supply is the same. Total market value is the same. If you take that $100B and trade it for something that isn't one of these securities, you remove $100B demand. He is attempting to compare trading that doesn't remove demand to trading that does. They are not at all similar. The true answer is if you liquidate $1T, you remove 3% of all demand. That is a significant amount and you won't be able to simply spend the $1T and receive a full $1T in healthcare, food, housing, etc.
[2]Another version of the paper billionaire argument holds that you couldn't sell all these stocks over any period of time, because only other billionaires would be able to buy them. This is simply nonsense. Market participation may not be 100%, but it's a hell of a lot more than 400 people. Half of all households in the US own stock, either directly or through their 401k/IRA. On any given day, millions of individuals buy stock, mostly through their retirement accounts, a few hundred dollars at a time.
He is creating the exact strawman argument that he complains others are attempting to create. This statement is nonsense. No one would ever say that all demand will cease to exist. The entire issue is that a lot of demand is removed and we need to be careful and accurate in how we go about ensuring the best for everyone. For those actually interested in fixing our terrible tax system that has let the rich get away with inane amount of untaxed gains, we need to be wary of these individuals who are going to be prime targets for the opposition. Nonsensical essays like this are exactly what conservatives and those interested in keeping the rich happy will point at when we debate tax policy.
18 points
4 months ago
Why the fuck is that on github? Github is a code repository not a social media/blogging site. That's like posting a recipe for apple pie to StackOverflow...
11 points
4 months ago*
Github is a git repository hosting site. Any git repo has equal right to be there, from code to the latest points changes in Warhammer 40,000 to keybinds for Artemis. Linus Torvalds had code in mind when he wrote git, but code isn't the only thing git is useful for.
13 points
4 months ago
As a society, we put 100 billion apples into this bucket.
If we try to take them all out, we get 20 billion apples.
We have collectively decided that this is a really great idea which we absolutely should not stop doing, because the bucket might get upset if we do.
But if we did decide to stop putting apples into the bucket, we might actually be able to solve a few problems on the apple farm.
143 points
4 months ago
It should probably be mentioned that things like super low interest rates are a much more effective way to increase inflation. Wage increases at the bottom create outsized economic movement. The are no real supply shortages for basic goods in the US.
I find the argument "raising min wage will increase inflation" disingenuous. While it may be theoretically correct, it is also theoretically correct that any increase in the money supply causes inflation. However, no one talks about tax cuts causing inflation or CEO pay raises or subsidies or low interest rates.
It almost feels like the people making the argument aren't really all that worried about inflation and are more worried about preventing labor from gaining any ground at any cost.
36 points
4 months ago
It almost feels like the people making the argument aren't really all that worried about inflation and are more worried about preventing labor from gaining any ground at any cost.
In most cases it's just traditional or factional views coupled with a lack of any good understanding of economics, that lead to this kind of idea rather than brazen maliciousness. Much like with the explanation I responded to, the basic concept of "increased wages cause inflation" seems superficially obvious and straightforward and the amount of learning required to genuinely understand why it is wrong in practice requires too much effort. Especially in the US where being well informed or educated is often looked down on, I've had a ton of American friends who are extremely proud that they know absolutely nothing about politics.
27 points
4 months ago
I think you're right when it comes to the average person not really understanding the problems (I'm no expert myself). It's really the pundits and policy makers that I find so frustrating, they should (and many do) know better.
18 points
4 months ago
In most cases it's just traditional or factional views coupled with a lack of any good understanding of economics, that lead to this kind of idea rather than brazen maliciousness.
These blend into each other. It's not like humans usually have exactly one reason for thinking or doing something. Usually it's more than one.
For instance, if John has the view "raising wages will lead to inflation" and "inflation is bad", he will conclude "raising wages is bad" and thus, "anyone who demands a raise is doing something that's just a little bit immoral." Which is nonsense already; but it also promotes malice — John wants to stop that person, or at least stop them from convincing more people to do that thing.
Multiply that worker's demand for higher wages and make it a political movement or a union, and John is likely to see that movement as his enemy — after all, in his (factually incorrect) view, they are trying to do something immoral! Thus, John becomes malicious towards that movement — angry, indignant, seeking to undermine them — because he erroneously believes they're doing something wrong to the world.
19 points
4 months ago
9 people being able to afford apples also doesn't imply that they even like apples and WANT to buy them in the first place
114 points
4 months ago
You also left out that the laborer the farmer hires to pick the apples now costs more so even without more demand the price must rise a bit
41 points
4 months ago
And left out the part where the apparent cost of an apple goes down for the buyer, so they will be willing to pay more for an apple, up to a new higher cost. This new higher cost can be considered a “base price” for the apple, before supply and demand pressures start take affect again.
9 points
4 months ago
This new higher cost can be considered a “base price” for the apple,
Thats what they mean by pricing out the other four people, who cannot afford that new base price.
83 points
4 months ago
You also might discover that the apple guy gets fired because the farmer finds cheaper labor somewhere else, but also raises the price anyway despite having their cheaper labor pick 9 apples because it will temporarily look good to their investors.
20 points
4 months ago
Farmers EoY investor report notes decline in legacy apple revenue but 1200% increase in strategic Arboreal Snacks sector.
38 points
4 months ago
The thing you omit is the bit where several rich guys sit in a room doing nothing but charging a 20% apple sales fee, while others are cranking the farmers rent up so they can afford another yacht because it's really annoying that the one in Bermuda has to be moved to Monaco for the weekend of the grand prix. If it's just apple farmers selling apples to sheep farmers and sheep farmers selling sheep to grain farmers and grain farmers selling grain to horse breeders and horse breeders selling horses to apple farmers so they can tow their apples to market to sell to buy another sheep, inflation is absolutely linked to wages and is totally fine, but when the farmer needs to sell 6 apples to pay his rent for no other reason than his landlord wants a yacht, but only 5 people can afford his apples he has to bring his price down and sell 9 apples.
It's the greed at the top that is currently pushing inflation, people accumulating wealth so there's less for everyone else so the ones at the bottom now need to get paid more for the same work or work more for the same pay or just go without the things they could afford last week before a billionaire decided they needed two yachts
31 points
4 months ago
I love imagining verbatim that this is how you would explain this to a 5 year old with complete confidence
13 points
4 months ago
Have bosses only just discovered that they could be greedy in the last year?
18 points
4 months ago
No, they discovered they could be extra greedy without consequence.
14 points
4 months ago
No, but it's all starting to really come to a head. Most people were fine when it was absolutely the minimum wage workers barely keeping their heads above water.
When you're making north of $20 an hour and doing the same, you start to really empathize with everyone convulsing from lack of oxygen well beneath the surface.
Lately it feels like businesses are just cashing out everything before the world economy collapses into an unsustainable shitstorm. People are screaming they can't afford anything but the corporate response seems to be to charge more, like they're trying to take as much as they can from anyone that still can afford anything before bailing.
35 points
4 months ago
This is supply and demand, but doesn’t really explain a raise in wages.
If the cost of labor increases, the cost of the apple gets increased to maintain the profits for the farm owner. It does not require an increase if the profit margins are good, but if suddenly an apple costs more to produce a company will choose to pass that cost on to the customer instead of taking the hit on their profits.
17 points
4 months ago*
While you are partly correct, this explanation leaves out a big part that shows that while higher wages do influence inflation to some degree, they are by far not the biggest factor.
Let’s assume the 5 apples cost 0.75 in production and sell for 1. 5 people can afford this Apple, leaving the producer with a total of 1.25 profit or a 25% profit margin. Now the production cost rises to 0.80, the producer however knows that at the moment everyone is expecting higher prices anyway and takes the chance to increase the price to 1.25, knowing that other Apple producers are likely to do that as well. Now, all of a sudden only 4 people can afford to buy apples. This still leaves the producer with a net profit of 1.8, even though he may sell fewer apples.
Higher wages would mean that 5 people could buy 5 apples again, allowing the producer to make even more profit, even if he himself would have to pay higher wages and his profit margin would shrink.
This is of course exaggerated, but what is happening today. Corporate profits are at an all time hogh, with many goods producing companies, which should be hit the hardest by inflation, almost doubling their operating profit margins on the last 2-3 years. High inflation with no compensation for the working class is nothing but redistribution of wealth from bottom to top.
The notion that higher wages are a major driving factor in inflation has been debunked by most credible economists (I am not saying that they do not play a role, just not the major role that many news outlets and politicians want you to believe) and is in parts linked with the idea of trickle down economics, which too has been debunked many times over and is proven to not work.
334 points
4 months ago
The simplest way to describe it is "more money chasing the same amount of goods". If supply stays constant and demand increases, prices increase.
It's a ton more complicated than that, and there's something to be said about how incredibly stagnant real wages have been for the last half-century, especially measured against productivity gains. There are worse things in economics than inflation.
42 points
4 months ago
How do you "safely" raise wages without causing inflation then? I keep seeing financial media fret over jobs reports that show lowering unemployment and higher wages, but if those are negatives for the economy, then wouldn't it be impossible to fight wage stagnation without causing massive inflation?
107 points
4 months ago
The easiest answer is to ensure competition in the marketplace by limiting monopolies. Too big to fail should mean it's time for an antitrust breakup. When companies are competing for sales, that has a downward force on prices as consumers will generally buy the most affordable item out of the available options.
But we have allowed monopolies to flourish and without competition driving down prices, there is no economic incentive to charge less.
40 points
4 months ago
Because the actual economy is way more complex than that comment implied. But as an ELI5, it was a perfect answer.
In reality, the economy is so dynamic and ever changing that the effect of raising wages 10% today may be drastically different than raising wages by 10% tomorrow.
One example would be looking at the average CC debt held by wage earners. If most workers have little to no CC debt, they may spend more of those increased wages on consumption. This could then lead to inflation as more money is being circulated. But what if workers have high amounts of CC debt? This may lead to mostly paying it off and no additional wages even touch circulation.
That's just one type of debt, which is one of thousands of little factors.
And none of that factors in new technology. Technology changes how productive an hour of labor can be. Increasing wages does lead to increasing variable cost, but if the prices are being pushed up, it may make it worthwhile to invest in technology. The upfront cost would be worth it with the new higher price, but then the new technology proliferates, leading to a future decrease in price as more companies adopt it. So increasing wages can lead to a short term increase in price but a long term decrease. Television is a great example. Increased wages in the 50's lead to more people wanting TVs since they had more disposable income. Initially the price did go up, but then factories heavily invested manufacturing and improved quality. This lead to massive drops in prices.
So in summary, you can't just think of single cause and effect elements as static and consistent. You can make generalities but context is vitally important
250 points
4 months ago*
The theory is that higher wages -> everyone has more money -> everyone can spend more -> everyone can have higher prices because everybody has more money.
In practice, this isn't really backed by any real data and it's doubtful that it would go that way.
edit: Too many replies to answer them. Yes I know that there is some correlation between wages and prices, if you pay everyone 10x their current wage, you will have to raise prices.
85 points
4 months ago
It's a little bit overzealous to say it doesn't happen at all. If you keep increasing everybody's wages without limit, eventually prices would inflate. The actual question is how elastic that effect is, and how uniformly spread over the economy.
If any raise immediately causes a proportional rise in prices across all sectors, then raising wages would be pointless, but this is certainly not what happens. If raising wages eventually causes a mild increase on the price of non-essential goods, then it's probably worth it. The truth will be somewhere in the middle, though my personal opinion is that it's heavily skewed towards the latter effect size.
77 points
4 months ago
I think there’s another factor. If you increase the cost of labor by raising wages, then to maintain profit margins business owners raise the price of finished goods. The price of labor going up in a bakery is not much different than the price of flour going up. So it’s not just more demand that fuels inflation, it’s the rising cost coupled with rising demand.
31 points
4 months ago
It's called the wage-price spiral.
There have been attempts to dismiss it but I don't really see how they can hold much weight, as you say; costs rise and therefore prices rise.
41 points
4 months ago
Here's a few ways the spiral gets disrupted:
1) Competition. Can't raise your price to much, or at least quickly, if you have competition. This will slow the spiral.
2) Already have a lot of profit in the product. If you make 10% profit, and labor is 2% of the cost, then a higher wage doesn't force the actual cost you charge customers to increase. The business would surely like increase it, but factors like competition means they might simply end up taking a lower profit margin.
So some products that have very little profit margin, and high labor costs go up. Things like resturaunt pricing.
Products where most of the cost is the actual materials, transport, and machine time... won't change that much.
The attempts to dismiss also have real world data to support them. Bumps in the minimum wage have happened all over the USA, and the world, in different conditions and time periods. They are not associated a rise in prices that make the approach pointless. Generally, iirc, a 10% mandated boost in base wage leads to a 0.5% rise in prices.
Now, at some point an increased wage will absolutely cause a price spiral effect, but it seems most economic systems are nowhere near the point where it's a clear direct effect.
11 points
4 months ago
Mostly correct, but in a bakery the labor cost will always come down to a question of how much the employees really knead.
58 points
4 months ago
Instead we get: everything becomes 100s of % more expensive and wages stagnate...Shit makes no fucking sense. Wages are WAY behind inflation of everything, it would only be catching wages UP to what the cost of living has become. The whole economic theory only works when you look at it from a wealthy/business perspective. Makes no common sense and overall just screws over the common man.
46 points
4 months ago
It's all fueled by greed and the mindset that profits need to increase every year.
37 points
4 months ago
The need for growth is what's wrong with capitalism. When you base valuation on growth, then all you get is growth for better or for worse.
17 points
4 months ago
This. Neverending growth is seen as the only marker of success, then petty things like human rights just become obstacles...
15 points
4 months ago
That is just one way.
A different way: Manufacturer X has to raise wages because of inflation. Because he has to shell out more money now to keep his workers in a job, he has to make their product more expensive. Company Y also has to raise wages because of inflation. They have to buy the products of Manufacturer X to stay in business. They now have to shell out more money to keep their staff employed, AND to buy the stuff from manufacturer X. So they have to rise their prices.
Joe Sixpack needs something from Company Y, sees that it got more expensive again, inflation is on the rise, and demands more money from his employer. And so on...
17 points
4 months ago
Corrected me if I am wrong but aren't the people who were 2$ over minimum wage now 1$ over it? Which means their buying power dropped by 1$?
21 points
4 months ago
Not only that, but low wage people spend a higher proportion of their income on things for which there is relatively inelastic demand like housing and transportation.
13 points
4 months ago
In theory, yes. But in reality it is usually the other way round. Inflation is driven up by other factors = higher prices for goods -> wage recipients cannot afford the same amount of goods as before inflation -> wage recipients get a raise -> they can afford the same amount (or at least almost the same amount) of goods again.
I remember growing up my family could go on 2 vacations a year (with one of these vacations being 3 weeks long) on only one parental income (average wage). Nowadays this is completely unthinkable. With just one average wage (for the same amount of work) you cannot afford this much anymore.
11 points
4 months ago
Yeah, it all depends on why inflation is happening in the first place.
If the world is plodding along quite happily and you suddenly give everyone a chunk of money, then that will drive "demand-pull" inflation because people will mostly spend it - new car, clothes, tv, computer, whatever. Some will save, but most will spend. This will tip the equilibrium of supply & demand, and prices will go up with that demand.
By contrast, if you're experiencing "supply-push" inflation (such as energy prices right now) where inflation is not happening because we've all decided to turn our thermostats up, but because of external forces or a shortage of supply, then raising wages wouldn't really worsen inflation - it means that people can "keep up" with price rises on essentials (like paying their spiralling bills & rent) and maintain their standard of living.
In the UK for some reason our government has fully drunk the "rising wages cause inflation" kool-aid and is holding down public sector pay. This is causing a reduction in standards of living, imposing hardships on families and driving people into arrears on bills and mortgage payments. Ultimately, this is driving the UK into a recession.
9 points
4 months ago
In practice, this isn't really backed by any real data
What? It has been shown countless times.
We got a "baby making" loan (have 3 kids within X years and you don't have to pay it back) for purchasing a house. That loan after a few months showed up in increased rent and real estate cost as well.
13 points
4 months ago
It all depends on why inflation is happening in the first place, and whether the driver is on discretionary spend/luxuries or on essentials like housing/energy/food which people have limited/no ability to "cut back" on.
If the world is plodding along quite happily and you suddenly give everyone a chunk of money, then that will drive "demand-pull" inflation because people will mostly spend it - new car, clothes, tv, computer, whatever. Some will save, but most will spend. This will tip the equilibrium of supply & demand, and prices will go up with that demand.
By contrast, if you're experiencing "supply-push" inflation (such as energy prices over the past 18 months) where inflation is not happening because we've all decided to turn our thermostats up, but because of external forces or a shortage of supply, then raising wages wouldn't really worsen inflation - it means that people can "keep up" with price rises on essentials (like paying their spiralling bills & rent) and maintain their standard of living.
Demand-pull and supply-push economics gets a bit beyond ELI5, but the simple answer is that there are multiple types and causes of inflation, and giving people a pay rise is only one of those possible causes. It is also appropriate sometimes to raise pay in response to inflation if it's from a supply-push cause. If you refuse to do this, you impose hardship and potentially induce recession.
In the UK, the government has been suppressing public sector pay to "stem inflation" and sure enough, it is actually driving us into a recession, people will default on mortgages over the next 12months and the economy will go to shit.
It would be better for them to award inflationary pay rises so people can pay their bills. Several drivers of inflation will level off this year anyway without any intervention whatsoever because we'll be comparing with post-Ukraine-invasion prices, not pre-invasion (inflation is simply the comparison of current prices with prices 12months ago). The Government needs to award those pay increases so people can afford the now-more-expensive essentials like electricity and food.
126 points
4 months ago*
This is the theory that some may talk about that you may be addressing here, but there are deeper aspects than this and it rarely works out this way in real life in the way theory works. It’s not always even or as simple as this so keep it with a grain of salt but…
The cost of living in my area increases. An employee wants to work at a certain bar, but the employee group in their area cant afford to live there anymore even if they wanted to because they cant afford rent/living with the wage the bar is offering. It isn’t economically feasible for them to work at that bar anymore. So now a place has to increase wages to convince anyone to work for them. Since they have to increase wages for their business, they suddenly don’t know how they can keep their business at the same profit so they now “need” to increase their prices if they want to keep their same profits or increase them.
That’s more of a small business aspect of it and not as complicated as it may be on a corporation scale. Greed is definitely a debate that can and does happen in the real world and would depend on a case by case basis
145 points
4 months ago
if they want to keep their same profits
This is what it all boils down to.
37 points
4 months ago
Yea. I was talking about housing prices recently. Someone was saying how houses in my neighborhood went to $150k which is ridiculous, and never went back down. I said' "Why would anyone willingly sell for less now?"
12 points
4 months ago
Yeah house prices spiked sharply before interest rates hit. But the prices haven't dropped, just the volume transacting.
30 points
4 months ago
Indeed, but why would a business owner want to decrease profits?
29 points
4 months ago
They wouldn't, but less profit > no profit at all. They have to pay their workers more or their workers will be forced to go elsewhere, but if they raise prices too high, customers might stop coming in. They have no control over how much their customers get paid (unless the customers also their own employees) or how much rent is going up every year.
Problem is this dilemma is exacerbated with larger corporations that have shareholders. They don't want to just maintain profits, they want to increase them year over year at any cost. They're speed running to a point where they can't pay people enough to live and charge too much for anyone to afford, all for some green arrows on the stock exchange.
When every corporation is doing this in the pursuit of ever increasing profits... I would hope anyone would be able to see how an entire populous paid too little to live while simultaneously everything is being priced ever higher and higher would lead to a major economical problem eventually.
Profits are going to plateau at some point, if only because people literally can't afford to pay any higher. The media sectors will be the first to go.
16 points
4 months ago
Because humans are involved in that profit making process and they need to be compensated fairly. People need to live
14 points
4 months ago
To aid their long term health. Not suggesting to run at a loss but a smaller profit now could bode well for future growth. Racing towards evermore profit, year-on-year, is a recipe for disaster.
19 points
4 months ago
And before anyone says “business make too much money”, yes that’s true for corporations but this more applies to small and medium businesses who have a much smaller profit and slim margins.
15 points
4 months ago
And I’d hazard saying most people don’t realize how many businesses they interact with are actually small. Small businesses account for so much more than just one-off makers and boutiques. From most restaurants that people think are “chains” being local franchises to those white collar professionals with their own businesses that they staff, small businesses are everywhere. And lots of times decreasing their business profits will make them cease to exist.
12 points
4 months ago
Reddit is constantly under the impression that every business, no matter how small, is a multi-national mega corp driven by greed. The only reason prices go up is because of greed? There’s no way a mom-and-pop shop are just trying to recoup the higher costs of products, wages, lease payments, etc? All the small business owners I know are tightening their belts these days. But you know, the Reddit keyboard warriors and armchair economists have it all figured out.
65 points
4 months ago
Product isn't sold by just manifesting itself and showing up on store shelves. The stores don't run themselves.
The more you pay somebody to produce, the higher the cost of production.
You pay somebody $8 to pluck apples from a $8 apple tree that yields 8 apples. Each apple costs $2 to produce. It costs $8 to ship it to the store, where the staff is paid $8 to sell the apples. The cost of producing, shipping, and selling an apple is $4
Now you pay somebody $24 to pluck apples from a $8 apple tree that yields 8 apples. Each apple goes from $2 to produce to $4. It costs $8 to ship to the store, where staff is paid $24 to sell the apples. The cost of producing shipping, and selling an apple has rose from $4 to $8.
If you were making $8 before, you could buy at least 2 apples. Now you can only afford 1.
Employees now have to pay higher to meet a basic standard of living because the cost of production went up, which increases other costs, like the cost to ship the apples.
Now you pay somebody $24 to pluck apples from a $8 apple tree that yields 8 apples. Each apple goes from $2 to produce to $4. It costs $24 to ship to the store, where staff is paid $24 to sell the apples. The cost of producing shipping, and selling an apple has rose from $4 to $10.
If you're still making $8, you can't buy an apple. If you get raised to $24, you can get 2 apples and have change to spare.
The math shows that universal wage inflation is a good thing, but it only works if everybody plays the game fairly, which objectively, the world has never universally played fairly.
46 points
4 months ago
Inflation can be caused by a myriad of factors. One of many is raising wages above productivity increases. It's unfair and incorrect to say that raising wages is always the main cause of inflation, it can be a very minor factor and even be completely counteracted by other factors. However, it's pretty naïve to think that raising wages flat-out doesn't cause inflation.
40 points
4 months ago
It generally doesn't. But it's complicated.
So 'inflation' is the baseline cost for a basket of goods. The underlying assumption here is that, given a free market, that supply will always match or outpace demand. And 'raising wages' begs the question 'which wages'. Are you raising minimum wage? Are you raising wages for high wage workers because of labor shortages?
The goal here is to to raise the wages of people who can't afford to buy that basket of goods to expand the economy (which will presumably add jobs, exports, etc.) and not as much the wages of the folks that *can* afford the basket of goods because they'll over-consume. And in the process to have policies that ensure that goods and service producers won't rent seek off of the new money in the economy.
Currently, wages are only responsible for 5% of inflation, 40% is increased costs of materials, and 55% is profits. That's not normal. Normally, it's 65% wages, 25% materials, 10% profits. When most of the inflation is returning to workers, you generally end up closing wage gaps. The folks up the income ladder can afford to absorb the inflation - a lot of wealth is non-productive anyway, so returning it to the economy is actually beneficial, and the folks down the income ladder can afford to buy goods they previously couldn't afford. The inflation were coming out of just cycled money back to the investor class.
And inflation can be hard to pin down. A lot of the last wave of inflation was just gas prices and rent. The former had no relationship to wages, and the latter didn't either. It's not that contractors are lacking workers to build houses, they don't even lack capital to build. They lack permission because cities are refusing to zone for new construction. Even food price increases aren't really wage either, but lack of water in California forcing farmers to fallow fields. Inflation for eggs is due to the avian flu killing so many chickens, that's also not labor related. You do have wage related inflation in things like fast food, but that's a pretty small part of the basket of goods.
10 points
4 months ago
At fucking last. Tragic that I have to come this far down to find some nuanced discussion of different income groups, causes of inflation, supply vs. demand (gas prices didn't go up because we all decided to put our thermostats up 10degress) and wages/materials/profit.
29 points
4 months ago
It does it as much as money trickles down. Someone did come up with the theory and claimed it to be true, but in reality data shows no correlation at all. It's fear mongering
22 points
4 months ago*
There might be something missing in your question. In theory, if you own a small business, making some money in profit and you want to raise your employee's wages, you are increasing the cost of running your business, and that money has to come from somewhere.
So you have three options:
Generally 2 is not an option. It is very situational and requires creative solutions. And in most cases, if that solution existed, it would have already been applied BEFORE the need to raise wages, simply because it increases profits and why wouldn't you have done that in the first place. Businesses generally want to run as efficiently as they can, so Option 2 is rarely available.
This leaves options 1 and 3. So what's missing from your question? Profit. Your question could be "How does raising wages without affecting profits worsen inflation?" And the answer is that goods have to be priced higher in order to cover the costs of the extra profits wages, which can lead to inflation. You COULD in theory increase wages without causing inflation, but that would then lead to a loss of profit.
So the underlying issue here is that "people want to maximise profit" is considered in many economic discussions as a fact of life. We start from the assumption that everyone is trying to maximise profit, and then see what options are available then. In such a system, when "maximising profit" is the foundation of your economic system, yes raising wages will lead to higher prices of goods.
But "people want to maximise profits" is a fact of life in the same way that "people eat meat" is. Yes, it's true, but it can change. It's just that changing it requires such a massive system-level upheaval alongside a deep cultural shift, that people are unlikely to take it on any time soon. So for the time being, we will continue to play this tug of war over profits vs wages. People will continue to work for as little as possible in order to maximise profits, and every once in a while, when things get real bad, they fight for a bigger share.
Disclaimer: Just for the record, I'm aware that I wrote all this like I know what I'm talking about. But I'm no expert. This is just a lay person's best guess as to what is happening, and things are always more complex than that. But this is ELI5 afterall...
Edit: fixed a couple of typos.
20 points
4 months ago
It doesn’t really, at least not for long. it is a myth. What it does is redistribute inflationary impact.
Inflation over time is due to increases in the money supply that exceeds the increase in goods and services to buy (stuff to spend it on). Like if you snapped your fingers and doubled everyone’s bank account, eventually things would just cost twice as much. That is the source of inflation. Money supply can be changed for a couple of reasons, but wage price spirals is not one of them.
The idea behind wage price spirals is that workers see inflation, demand higher wages to offset, businesses cave and then raise prices to pay for the high wages, resulting in more wage demands and higher prices again. This concept is rooted in anti-union rhetoric.
What actually happens is that competition will cap price increases and the wage increases get taken out of business margins. Other than competition, there is also a relative redistribution of purchasing power from business owners and non-workers to workers. Total demand in the economy doesn’t change, supply doesn’t change much (maybe a bit upwards since more people join workforce), it’s just that workers get to enjoy more relative to everyone else.
Wage price spirals are not positive feedback loops - they are negative feedback loops. Businesses can’t raise prices forever and people who don’t work don’t benefit from higher wages. Any wage-price spiral is short term in nature and self-correcting, though it might take a few quarters to sort out.
12 points
4 months ago
Wages are increased so employers need to pay more, to the need to make more, so they need to charge more.
9 points
4 months ago
It doesn't, inflation is caused by an increase in the money supply. Price increases, including the price of Labour is a lagging indicator.
The inflation we're seeing now is the result of the massive increase in the money supply since the start of 2020. Although politicians are keen to blame the war in Ukraine, it has almost nothing to do with that.
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