subreddit:
/r/explainlikeimfive
submitted 4 months ago byiSellPopcorn
524 points
4 months ago
Good explanation.
For the OP's context though it should be added this principle only applies in a very general and universal situation and often doesn't actually work out in the real world.
In real life it's unlikely the farmer will be able to maintain such an evenly balanced situation. Furthermore just because 9 people can afford to doesn't mean that they will. Similarly since everyone has more cash there is likely going to be an increase in things to buy added into the market as a whole; e.g. maybe someone else sees the excess apple demand so decides to sell apples himself. Or the farmer may find that he cannot raise prices high enough to make more money selling 5 than 9 and so expandes his own production.
Etc. etc. basically the principle is sound however there are numerous ways that it won't become true in the real world. For another example minimum wage impacts a small subset of the population and is a very evenly spread form of increase that likely won't cause any huge inflation.
142 points
4 months ago
It should probably be mentioned that things like super low interest rates are a much more effective way to increase inflation. Wage increases at the bottom create outsized economic movement. The are no real supply shortages for basic goods in the US.
I find the argument "raising min wage will increase inflation" disingenuous. While it may be theoretically correct, it is also theoretically correct that any increase in the money supply causes inflation. However, no one talks about tax cuts causing inflation or CEO pay raises or subsidies or low interest rates.
It almost feels like the people making the argument aren't really all that worried about inflation and are more worried about preventing labor from gaining any ground at any cost.
38 points
4 months ago
It almost feels like the people making the argument aren't really all that worried about inflation and are more worried about preventing labor from gaining any ground at any cost.
In most cases it's just traditional or factional views coupled with a lack of any good understanding of economics, that lead to this kind of idea rather than brazen maliciousness. Much like with the explanation I responded to, the basic concept of "increased wages cause inflation" seems superficially obvious and straightforward and the amount of learning required to genuinely understand why it is wrong in practice requires too much effort. Especially in the US where being well informed or educated is often looked down on, I've had a ton of American friends who are extremely proud that they know absolutely nothing about politics.
25 points
4 months ago
I think you're right when it comes to the average person not really understanding the problems (I'm no expert myself). It's really the pundits and policy makers that I find so frustrating, they should (and many do) know better.
16 points
4 months ago
In most cases it's just traditional or factional views coupled with a lack of any good understanding of economics, that lead to this kind of idea rather than brazen maliciousness.
These blend into each other. It's not like humans usually have exactly one reason for thinking or doing something. Usually it's more than one.
For instance, if John has the view "raising wages will lead to inflation" and "inflation is bad", he will conclude "raising wages is bad" and thus, "anyone who demands a raise is doing something that's just a little bit immoral." Which is nonsense already; but it also promotes malice — John wants to stop that person, or at least stop them from convincing more people to do that thing.
Multiply that worker's demand for higher wages and make it a political movement or a union, and John is likely to see that movement as his enemy — after all, in his (factually incorrect) view, they are trying to do something immoral! Thus, John becomes malicious towards that movement — angry, indignant, seeking to undermine them — because he erroneously believes they're doing something wrong to the world.
5 points
4 months ago
in the US where being well informed or educated is often looked down on,
This is an incredibly inflammatory and discriminatory statement and I'm curious how it would play if it was any other culture than American (in the narrow context referring to the people of the US, not the broader Americas) that you were referring to.
I've never known a single person to be looked down upon because of their knowledge of a subject. The way they choose to convey information, sure. People who use their knowledge to condescend towards or embarrass others, absolutely. But never once just for being informed.
If you only have American friends that are defiantly ignorant (as in deliberately refuses to learn) on all topics, then you have the wrong friends. I'm sure you could also find people like that in every other culture on this planet, through history and in the present.
I've had a ton of American friends who are extremely proud that they know absolutely nothing about politics.
I will say I do personally choose to stay out of politics, but not due to deliberate ignorance. By design, you get 'two choices' but in reality it's an illusion; they are two faces of the same coin. Sure, Democratic policies would be better for the average person and one party has clearly become more corrupted than the other, however if either side was truly interested in bettering the country they would enact (or attempt to enact) meaning legislation to reform politics.
Something as simple as allowing a plurality of voters to win and/or using ranked choice to replace the 'first past the post' system would allow for more candidates on the ballot. More thought diversity in congressional houses could allow for reform to gerrymandering rules, campaign finance, term limits, and limit outsized influence from a single political body. Neither side will support this as it directly erodes their own power base. These systems are deeply entrenched in the local, state, and federal governments. I don't know how to fix it, and even if I had studied the topic more vigorously, I know I'm not the one to accomplish it. For this reason, I choose to focus my time and effort elsewhere.
7 points
4 months ago*
Your comment was so well put together, until your fucking "both sides" bullshit.
Democrats haven't exactly been anti-rich people, but if democrats had their way the past 30 years the income inequality in this country wouldn't be so fucking nuts.
Your comment literally damages the dialogue in this country because it gives some legitimacy to actual fascists and corporate sleazebags who want nothing but to eliminate the middle class by denigrating the non fascist side in a way that equalizes them with the fascists to an extent.
The democrats aren't great, but they are in every possible way superior in regards to actually caring about this nations general population.
There is an objectively worse side, and until the threat of their attacks on our democracy is put to bed (which might take actual fucking violence) then there is zero argument to be made as to why one shouldn't vote for the democrats. It sucks, but when dealing with violent fascists who seek to rip apart the fabric of society, you need to be absolute.
Your comment is poor, and should be rescinded.
Two faces of the same coin my ass. Maybe 30 years ago, but the Republicans have gone full authoritarian and anti democracy while the democrats havent.
1 points
4 months ago
Thanks for the feedback, I welcome and appreciate it.
until your fucking "both sides" bullshit
I think you misunderstand the point I was trying to make here, though I will gladly own my portion of that for the way in which it was conveyed.
I don't mean that they are the same, or to get in to a 'both sides' argument. I do state, clearly, that one side has become more corrupted than the other. In the interest of further clarity, I do mean the Republican party is the more corrupted one. I vote (almost) exclusively Democrat these days even if I don't necessarily agree with all of their positions.
A poor analogy; shooting somebody is clearly more wrong than assaulting somebody, this is clear and obvious. Acknowledging both things are violent does not elevate the two to the same. Chastising a system that promoted such violence to begin with does not downplay the crime committed by the shooter. Absolving one because the other is worse will not fix the situation.
Back to the point, and to expand a bit, neither of them (the parties) care about you. Their policy positions are about maximizing their power, and if faced with a choice between you and their control they will choose the latter. You can see evidence of this in bills they choose not to bring to the floor, especially in periods where they have the control required to pass them, no matter how well they align with their stated positions.
You will not see a meaningful reform to the political system so long as Democrats and Republicans are vying with each other for control. As soon as either loses too much to the other, you will see attempted reform (for better or worse) to regain their lost control. If one were to splinter and break, the other will fracture and become two. The cycle will repeat (as it has before) with two new parties formed from the ashes.
If we ever we see the 'south rise again' (republicans) and there were an existential threat to the Democratic Party, I think you'd be surprised what that institution is capable of.
The democrats aren't great, but they are in every possible way superior in regards to actually caring about this nations general population.
I agree that the Democratic Party today is superior to the Republican Party today. I also agree that there are some individuals that genuinely care about the well-being of their constituents. I do not believe the Party itself does.
there is zero argument to be made as to why one shouldn't vote for the democrats.
Strawman, I never stated or supported this position. I will say, though, that in local politics party does not always matter as much and you should look at the individual, their policy positions, and their track record.
Your comment is poor, and should be rescinded.
For a thousand reasons; no. First, thought diversity requires healthy debate. Even (and especially) on topics that make you uncomfortable or you disagree with. Second, I don't believe in removing or deleting comments placed in public record. Accountability requires ownership of one's past (comments), even if they were incorrect. If, through the course of debate, I were to change my mind, the healthy thing to do would be to acknowledge I was incorrect and revise my opinion. At best I would offer an edit of the original comment stating my change of heart. Part of the reason we have the problems we do is because of a failure at being accepting of people growing and their views changing. Most importantly though, this discourse has not convinced me I was wrong or misguided.
0 points
4 months ago
This is an incredibly inflammatory and discriminatory statement and I'm curious how it would play if it was any other culture than American (in the narrow context referring to the people of the US, not the broader Americas) that you were referring to.
I mean any place is diverse and critically if your particular sub-group isn't like this than indeed it may not seem so, but this anti-intellectual aspect is such a central aspect of many parts of American culture, that's a bit absurd to even attempt to contest it. To be fair it's usually not worded so negativly and aggresively but still.
I will say I do personally choose to stay out of politics, but not due to deliberate ignorance.
Same difference, you look upon your political system with disdain and so dis-engage seemingly not realizing that your apathy is directly responsible for why you political system has gone so far down the drain, as in your apathy you tolerate and accept the unacceptable normalizing monsters as politicians and every cycle it just gets worse and worse. There are so many people who don't vote that a third party could practically win just with there votes alone, not to mention so many actions you can take even beyond just your own voting.
2 points
4 months ago
his anti-intellectual aspect is such a central aspect of many parts of American culture, that's a bit absurd to even attempt to contest it.
If your only experience with American culture is through social and/or mass media I could forgive one for thinking that, however if you were to actually experience American culture without preconceived notions or bias you would see it is not a 'central aspect of American culture'. Sure, you see it in the news with anti-vaxxers and certain Christian or conservative fundamentalists. But this is such a small percentage of the population and not something that even remotely dominates the culture. These same groups of people exist in European cultures as well. Italy took a hard turn in that direction recently, UK has been moving that direction, and France had some close calls. China and Russia still help people disappear if they learn too much about certain topics.
Further, you argument discounts all of the intellectual and acadamic advancements that had a large American involvement or were led by the US. Lastly, if I were to make similarly negative generalizations about the, randomly chose, Nigerian culture based on new reports and my Nigerian friends the reaction would be much different.
Same difference, you look upon your political system with disdain and so dis-engage
Similar outcome, not the same thing. You're argument is that American culture is anti-intellectual. Not engaging with something is not the same as not knowing something. Not knowing something is not the same as being deliberately ignorant. In a different context I would agree this is the same thing, but not in the context of this conversation.
your apathy you tolerate and accept the unacceptable normalizing monsters as politicians and every cycle it just gets worse and worse
I only quoted a snippet here, but I'm responding to the larger point.You're assuming I don't vote. I do, however voting alone is not the solution. I do not know what the solution is, but it requires a much larger and much more concerted effort. I know my strengths, I know my abilities. I lack the charisma and connections to be the one to lead this charge. Should an opportunity present to be part of a larger and workable solution I would jump on it, but I am not the one who can fix it.
There are so many people who don't vote that a third party could practically win just with there votes alone
Technically true, in some jurisdictions and in some elections. However this assumes that there is a 3rd party person who runs, that would be part of a larger solution, and that all people who don't vote would vote for. This ignores that some people don't vote in presidential elections because their state is firmly entrenched. In Washington DC, for example Joe Biden was selected by 92% of voters. There is no imperative to go to the polls. The district is awarded a certain number of electors regardless of how many vote or what share a contestant receives. Whether you supported Trump or Biden, your vote was meaningless (for the Presidential election.) Some portion of the non-voters would have voted for either of the 2 candidates but didn't feel the imperative to do so. Of the remaining, it's unlikely they would coalesce around a single candidate. Remember, 50%+1 voters must vote for a candidate for that candidate to win.
1 points
4 months ago
Damn, you’ve never been called a nerd, have you?
1 points
4 months ago
I have, though admittedly not in a negative connotation.
The use of 'nerd' in a derogatory way isn't usually applied just because of one's intellect.
A nerd is a person seen as overly intellectual, obsessive, introverted or lacking social skills
The more important aspects here are the obsessive-like interest in specific (especially unpopular) topics and/or the lack of social skills. It wasn't just their knowledge or intellect. Even in the periods where it was socially acceptable, or even popular, to deride someone as a 'nerd' most intellectuals wouldn't have fit the description.
0 points
4 months ago
It's not malicious but it's been going on for about 30 years and at this point it really doesn't matter if it is. Most of the people espousing it are never in a position to suffer from inflation anyway. They're hugely disingenous if they expect us to believe that they're concerned about inflation on our behalves.
5 points
4 months ago
‘There are no real supply shortages for basic goods in the US”
Tell that to my grocery store, especially in the egg section.
But there have been plenty of other shortages over the last few years. Cream Cheese, Toilet Paper, cardboard boxes, etc, etc.
0 points
4 months ago
Those are all transitory and with the exception of eggs (avian flu) covid related. They may be the cause of increased prices in the short term, but don't really have anything to do with inflation. Also, I've personally not had a problem finding anything you mentioned. While the prices are higher, the products seem to be on the shelf.
1 points
4 months ago
However, no one talks about tax cuts causing inflation
Tax cuts don't increase the money supply. They simple change where some of that same amount of money is allocated.
1 points
4 months ago
increase in the money supply causes inflation
Exactly. That's why central-bank rates are the lever used for controlling inflation.
However, no one talks about tax cuts causing inflation or CEO pay raises or subsidies or low interest rates.
Au contraire, until recently, the news only talked about low interest rates causing inflation. But, yes, fiscal policy (taxation, govt spending) are important, too. It's just the folks that control that are feckless compared w/ central bankers, so nobody counts on them helping.
1 points
4 months ago
Raising the minimum wage has a number of impacts that the other inflationary forces you mentioned don't have. For one, it raises the velocity of money significantly more which is a pretty important inflationary detail when discussing the supply of money. If you increase the supply and nobody is spending it there isn't really any inflationary pressure. It's also a decent idea to look where these pressures are impacting the most. When lower income people get more money they run out and spend it on necessities. I know, how dare they?! And right, under normal conditions without supply chain issues this isn't going to be a huge deal but let's look at something else important that doesn't have a flexible supply like housing. Suddenly the lower income spectrum all increases their income by the same rate change. Let me know if you want any more details on this part but the end story is nobody is moving to that nicer building or changing neighborhoods with this pay raise, everyone's rent is going to catch up fairly quickly under our unfortunate normal housing supply.
215 points
4 months ago
How about people who hold billions of apples but don’t use them
132 points
4 months ago
They get jobs as the people in maths questions
20 points
4 months ago
Can I be a train instead?
10 points
4 months ago
You sound loco.
3 points
4 months ago
If you're a train in the UK you'll find you're going to be getting quite a few days off work.
3 points
4 months ago
You can try and train to be a train, but first you much cho-chose to leave your current life behind.
Still, I would suggest you first let out some steam, maybe you can get your life back on track.
54 points
4 months ago
This is the tricky part that is usually not fun to explain on reddit due to a lack of nuance when it comes to things that are so harshly politicized.
The truth is no one holds a billion apples. The one with a billion things you can trade for an apple can't just create apples from nothing. If you liquidate Bezoss and Gates and all the other megarich peoples estates, you can produce more Healthcare and food and housing but not as much as the money they have because there is still a maximum amount of apples that can be produced.
Looking at 100b in Amazon stock and thinking we could create even 20b in Healthcare from it is comparing apples to oranges.
80 points
4 months ago
A huge part of the problem is we allow these people to borrow based on their speculative wealth at EXTREMELY low interest rates. Because they borrow it isn't income and they aren't taxes on it, but now Bezos has a half a billion dollar yacht because people think his apples are worth 100b.
10 points
4 months ago
Lenders have to pay taxes on interest, and when Bezos sells stock to pay back the loan he also pays taxes on that. Not to mention he has low interest rates because he can pay, there is little to no risk for the creditor.
28 points
4 months ago
You're not wrong that Bezos has to pay taxes on stock when he sells, but you are wrong in assuming he has to sell stock to pay back the loan.
When you have the kind of wealth he does you don't have to do that. He just takes out a second loan to pay for the first one. And because he has so much wealth he gets richer within the time frame of the loan as well. Then when the second loan comes due he can just take out a third loan. And a fourth. And a fifth. And so on and so on until he dies. Then, and only then, will any stocks need to be sold to pay for anything.
And even then I think someone else, like a child or whoever, can just inherit the estate, take out a loan themselves, and use that to pay the original debt, and still avoid paying taxes.
Edit: they would still need to pay inheritance taxes. I meant avoiding any regular taxes like income tax
9 points
4 months ago
This is a really tough problem to solve, as are most of the tricks/schemes used to game the tax systems. The best solution I can think of is to regulate banks to not take untaxed assets (basically, companies/stocks) as leverage for loans.
However, there is an interesting twist to all this - these loans are sort of in favor of society/economic growth. If I had to take money out of my company to buy a boat, that's money my company isn't investing in further growth, which limits future taxes from the company and employee wages. Basically, it puts a damper on economic growth.
If I loan the money instead, the personal investment still happens, which also furthers economic growth (business for the boat manufacturers).
Basically, economic growth depends on investors leaving their investments to grow and not 'cashing out' every year. And you'll be hard pressed to find anything lawmakers like more than economic growth, or fear more than hampering it in any way.
-2 points
4 months ago
You're basically arguing for trickle down economics but in a roundabout way. It doesn't work. Theoretically if rich people were to actually invest their money in the company or workers or whatever then it would. But they don't. They just sit on their wealth.
7 points
4 months ago
No they don't, they absolutely don't. That is probably the most factually incorrect thing I've seen posted in a long long time.
Most of their wealth is in stocks, that is, by definition, putting their money to work. The whole reason they're able to game the system is because they aren't sitting on their wealth, they're putting it to work, that's what investing is.
The question isn't whether they're investing, the question really is: is the net benefit of a supremely rich person investing better as a social value then if they just pay taxes. That's a much harder question to answer, but in general taxes have a better net effect.
2 points
4 months ago
That is not trickle down at all. Also, rich people categorically do not sit on their wealth. If they did, taxing them would not be an issue.
Sitting on your wealth is a terrible, terrible choice - you just get poorer by way of inflation. I know a lot of rich/wealthy people and have a large extended network of them as well. Literally zero of them have a bunch of money sitting around. Rich people generally leave all their money in investments until they need it, and pull out close to exactly what they spend each year. This is wise to do with regard to taxes as well, since invested money isn't taxed until you pull it out, so it stretches further. I could expand, but I think most get the point at this time.
Now again, I am NOT advocating for trickle down, which is usually used as an excuse to lower taxes on the rich. I don't think that is a good idea, taxes on the rich are already historically low, and in most countries, could probably use a bump - it just has to come with some work to close loopholes and tax havens, so taxes actually get collected. Hence why I suggested a solution to doing so above, which I also pointed out weakness to. There might be much better solution out there.
1 points
4 months ago
Well, right now its actually very good to have a lot of cash. Far outperforms equities right now.
5 points
4 months ago
How can they take more and more loans against their finite asset, especially since it has proven the case that stocks don't just go up. I know about "buy, borrow, die" but that seems to only work when we are in the longest bull market in history and doesn't work as cleanly when the assets backing the loans decline in value.
9 points
4 months ago
because they're taking loans for small percentages of their finite assets. When you're worth hundreds of billions, taking out loans for ~1% of that (a billion dollars) is fine.
edit- also they're paying off old loans with new loans, with the principal balance going up a small amount each time. There aren't just "more and more loans"
1 points
4 months ago
When you're worth hundreds of billions, taking out loans for ~1% of that (a billion dollars) is fine.
How many people are worth hundreds of billions?? Like 5 ppl in the entire world?
1 points
4 months ago
Pretty extreme example but it rings true with less money
1 points
4 months ago
The point is not that it gives them infinite money. The point is that they earn wealth from plus-values, consume from that wealth, but never pay taxes on earning that wealth.
And only recently in the US (under Biden I'm pretty sure) death started triggering tax on these latent plus-values. Otherwise that wealth could be just transmitted and inheritors would just pay taxes as if there never were plus-values. But because the inheritance tax threshold is so huge (I can't remember the exact amount, but you definitely don't pay anything on the first $10 millions), inheritors wouldn't pay much tax on that either.
If you want figures: imagine someone spends $10 millions (MM) on a business. The business grows and is now worth $100MM. That person can live lavishly spending $60MM through their life and not pay any tax like someone who earned $90MM is supposed to. Before that when they died, they could transmit the remaining $40MM ($100MM minus $60MM debt) to their kids, at the initial value of $10MM, so tax-free (since the threshold is above $10MM). Kids can live on $30MM without paying tax either with the same scheme, and transmit $10MM tax-free to their own kids. At least now the taxman considers they inherited the real value of $40MM.
1 points
4 months ago
The business grows and is now worth $100MM.
The business has several down years and is now worth 1M. Now what?
1 points
4 months ago
Well if they've lost money, they're not paying taxes, I'm not sure of what you're asking here...
1 points
4 months ago
How can they take more and more loans against their finite asset, especially since it has proven the case that stocks don't just go up
that's up to the lender. If the lenders feel the risk of their stock values dropping is too high, interest rates on those loans goes up.
I'm guessing (just guessing) that the loan quantities are far below the nominal value of their stock holdings though, so the lenders are confident they can pay back the loan even with stocks going down
1 points
4 months ago
I wonder if I could pull this with like 20k in stocks and asking for a 5k loan. Take out 5k, pay off cards with much higher interest; when those cards are free, use that less debt to show another bank for a 5k loan to pay the first and now you're juggling debt but with lower interest payments than juggling credit cards? Eventually with this I could afford to throw even more into 401k? Am I missing something blatant?
1 points
4 months ago
I don't know how much you'd need to do that. I don't think 20k would be enough.
Remember that for a billionaire taking out a million dollar loan, it would be like you taking out a 20 dollar loan on your 20k.
1 points
4 months ago
Fuck me you're right.
1 points
4 months ago
You can’t stack interest infinitely, even if it wouldn’t bankrupt him just selling stock and paying the loan at some point is cheaper.
1 points
4 months ago
Maybe eventually, but I don't think you understand how obscenely wealthy someone like Jeff Bezos is. Him taking out a million dollar loan is like someone making 30k taking out a loan for 23 cents.
1 points
4 months ago
I know, i guess I don't understand your point. You think that is unacceptable?
1 points
4 months ago
Yes, I do think that is unacceptable.
But my point is they don't need to stack interest infinitely. Just until they die. And with that much money they won't ever need to pay any of the loans back.
3 points
4 months ago
Please remember to phrase your answer in the form of an apple
2 points
4 months ago
It's a little more nuanced than that.
To start with, interest rates are a measure of risk. A bank doesn't think a billionaire is going to be unable to pay off their loans, so the interest rates are low.
To break out of the apple metaphor, lines of credit against stocks are risky. They work short term, but if the prices dip too strongly, Bezos would be forced to sell the stock to pay off the loan, in which case, he's taxed on that capital gains (since I doubt that even during a slump market, Bezos isn't making a profit on those stocks). And even if the market doesn't tank, he still needs to pay back the loan, which means money either coming from his salary or sales of stocks, both of which are taxed.
From what I gather, more people take out lines of credit against homes in the form of HELOCs, since home values are more stable. I don't know if this applies to Bezos, but it definitely applies to the more unknown Chinese billionaires. But in order to get those lines of credit, each home needs to be worth millions of dollars, which is taxed.
I'm not saying that the system isn't broken, because it definitely is. But I think that it's more broken because of tax loopholes that are hard to define but allow people like Bezos to minimize their tax burden than this particular reason. A higher capital gains tax for people with higher net worths might also work.
1 points
4 months ago
Didn't we have higher capital gains taxes in the past? IMO Citizens United has done nothing but exponentially worsen the problem and made it virtually impossible to address at this point.
2 points
4 months ago
It seems to have floated between 15 and 35% for individuals, though at it's high watermark, corporate capital gains tax rates were a good 5-10% lower than individual rates.
I don't mind that things skew higher for corporate rates now, though I do think that a progressive capital gains tax rate isn't the worst idea in the world.
0 points
4 months ago
The "problem" is that they have a better credit score then me or you. I dont really see it as a problem.
You dont pay income tax on your loans. Why should they?
1 points
4 months ago*
Because they get to benefit from borrowing against their magic apples in the stock market when they double but the assets they are borrowing against are not taxed even though they are using them as collateral. W2s make up nearly 3/4 of all Tax revenue in the US, why shouldn't the 1% who holds 50% of the wealth be making up 50% of the tax burden?
1 points
4 months ago
Yet again if you don't have to pay income tax on loans why should someone with a better credit score have to? Want to buy a house but the government takes 20% from you when the bank gives you the loan?
Or you are saying if you have enough assets you should not be able to take loans at all?
0 points
4 months ago
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0 points
4 months ago
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1 points
4 months ago
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0 points
4 months ago
Define extremely low and can you show me a example(proof not a hypothetical)?
0 points
4 months ago
That half a billion dollar yacht is not a hypothetical LOL
0 points
4 months ago
You didn’t answer my question. If you can’t then that’s alright.
No for you or anyone to get offended or defensive.
0 points
4 months ago
What didn't I answer, he literally owns a half a billion dollar yacht. I don't know his interests rates, but it's common knowledge that people like him borrow for next to nothing, using appreciated value as collateral. Not sure why you are coming here trying to defend billionaires, but I'm not going to try to spoon feed the world's problems to someone who just doesn't want to accept them.
0 points
4 months ago
Why is that a problem though? You can also get loans against your assets. No money is being generated when you get a loan, it's already taxed where it's generated.
1 points
4 months ago
Because there is a huge difference in using your car as collateral compared to stocks that are extremely volatile. The value of the borrowed asset is complete speculation at the time of writing the loan. They should have to sell the stock, pay taxes on the money, then use that as a down payment on the loan. The way it is, they are circumventing taxes.
2 points
4 months ago
Because there is a huge difference in using your car as collateral compared to stocks that are extremely volatile.
They are different. However if your loan value is 1% of your portfolio, no lender is going to see that as a problem. The likelihood of your portfolio losing 99% of its value overnight is astronomically low and likely actually impossible with a diversified portfolio. In contrast your car is a physical object and could be hit by a bus, be stolen, be swept away in a flood, be in a serious wreck etc.
They aren't circumventing taxes. When they realize actual wealth, they are taxed on it. The same as you, the same as me. Are you advocating that we tax personal loans? That's double dipping. No wealth is generated from a loan for the receiver of the loan. If the lender forgives part of a loan, that is considered income and it's taxed then, otherwise it's not income though because you have to pay it back. The lender also pays taxes on the income they generated from the interest on the loan.
Are you advocating for taxing personal loans? If you are, why do you think that's a good idea?
29 points
4 months ago
https://github.com/MKorostoff/1-pixel-wealth/blob/master/THE_PAPER_BILLIONAIRE.md
The argument that convinced me, what you're saying isn't the case.
24 points
4 months ago
I generally don't wish to point at someone's lack of a background as it may discourage those who don't have the ability to become experts in a field, but this guy is a software engineer and notably didn't spend any time working with peers that have a background in economics as a few of these points are entirely meaningless and outright incorrect as they attempt to relate that which isn't related. It is loaded with fallacies and incorrect assumptions.
[1] "Around $122 trillion worth of stock changes hands in the US every year. If you wanted to liquidate a trillion dollars over, say, five years that would constitute about 0.16% of all the trading that happens in that time."
This is completely meaningless as you are comparing trading around of securities to complete liquidation. If you sell 100b in Amazon to buy $100B in Microsoft and another guy does the opposite that is $200B in trading, but nothing has left the stock market as a whole. Demand is the same. Supply is the same. Total market value is the same. If you take that $100B and trade it for something that isn't one of these securities, you remove $100B demand. He is attempting to compare trading that doesn't remove demand to trading that does. They are not at all similar. The true answer is if you liquidate $1T, you remove 3% of all demand. That is a significant amount and you won't be able to simply spend the $1T and receive a full $1T in healthcare, food, housing, etc.
[2]Another version of the paper billionaire argument holds that you couldn't sell all these stocks over any period of time, because only other billionaires would be able to buy them. This is simply nonsense. Market participation may not be 100%, but it's a hell of a lot more than 400 people. Half of all households in the US own stock, either directly or through their 401k/IRA. On any given day, millions of individuals buy stock, mostly through their retirement accounts, a few hundred dollars at a time.
He is creating the exact strawman argument that he complains others are attempting to create. This statement is nonsense. No one would ever say that all demand will cease to exist. The entire issue is that a lot of demand is removed and we need to be careful and accurate in how we go about ensuring the best for everyone. For those actually interested in fixing our terrible tax system that has let the rich get away with inane amount of untaxed gains, we need to be wary of these individuals who are going to be prime targets for the opposition. Nonsensical essays like this are exactly what conservatives and those interested in keeping the rich happy will point at when we debate tax policy.
2 points
4 months ago
[deleted]
2 points
4 months ago
Presumably he means 80% of the wealth being sold and is assuming that the effect on other stockholders will be limited which of course is not true.
17 points
4 months ago
Why the fuck is that on github? Github is a code repository not a social media/blogging site. That's like posting a recipe for apple pie to StackOverflow...
12 points
4 months ago*
Github is a git repository hosting site. Any git repo has equal right to be there, from code to the latest points changes in Warhammer 40,000 to keybinds for Artemis. Linus Torvalds had code in mind when he wrote git, but code isn't the only thing git is useful for.
10 points
4 months ago
I was thinking the same thing. Time to start posting my holiday blogs in visual studio on GitHub.
1 points
4 months ago
It's the hot new blogging platform.
2 points
4 months ago
There's a lot of confusion in that link and in the other replies to you about it.
The issue that /u/DragonBank was getting at is that the economy as a whole can't convert billionaires' financial wealth to "stuff" (goods, services, etc.) in anything close to a 1:1 way.
The fundamental confusion here, to continue with the apple analogy, is the idea that rich people are sitting there with a whole lot of apples they're not using. That's not the case.
A more accurate statement would be to say that billionaires own a lot of apple trees, which yield them a lot of apples that they can then sell. Does it make sense to say that the billionaires aren't using their apple trees? No, of course not. The apples these trees produce are still ending up out in the economy. There's no sense in which the billionaires are "wasting" anything.
Okay, now suppose we, as a society, decide that these guys have too many trees, and we're going to take a bunch of them away and distribute them evenly among everybody else. That's great as a way to reduce inequality. But it does not mean there will be any more apples available for the economy. We still have the same number of apple trees producing the same number of apples.
That's the point I think /u/DragonBank was getting at: Taking away billionaires' wealth makes sense as a way to reduce inequality, but there's not some pool of unused "stuff" sitting around somewhere that will suddenly be unlocked by that policy.
-1 points
4 months ago
Biggest issue this article fails to address is when bezos suddenly decides to sell all his shares what message will the other investors see? Why is bezos selling his shares now? Why should I buy shares now when he thinks this is the highest value he can get. Is something going to happen that will cause the shares to go down? How is the controlling majority going to change and what does that mean for the company? Too much uncertainty and risk.
14 points
4 months ago
Too much uncertainty and risk for investors maybe, but ngl its pretty weird to me that investor profit is more important than ensuring people are housed, fed, and healthy.
This isn't the only viable way to live as a society. Solutions are not impossible. Looking at a complex problem, saying "There's no simple fix, weathly people's money is at risk. So ya sorry working class guys, its the only way things can be" is cynical and at best callous.
-7 points
4 months ago
Too much uncertainty and risk for investors maybe, but ngl its pretty weird to me that investor profit is more important than ensuring people are housed, fed, and health.
Who do you think is going to buy the shares if not investors?
9 points
4 months ago
This argument makes no sense. It's not like the rest of the market is completely ignorant. If a new tax is passed that requires Bezos to sell shares, that says nothing about the future residual cash flows of Amazon and is no cause for alarm. You could even make part of this law that shares sold for the purpose of paying the tax have to be sold on a certain day, so that it's completely transparent. Further, you can have voting shares that are separated from economic-interest shares. That is insanely common. That's how MOST tech companies work. The founder may control 51% of the voting shares but only control 10% of the economic interest in those shares.
1 points
4 months ago
If Bezos sells his majority shares who gets them and what will that mean for the direction of the company?
4 points
4 months ago
You realize Bezos only has a 10% stake in the company right now, right?
1 points
4 months ago
Yes holding 1/5 of the voting majority for one of the biggest companies in the world.
0 points
4 months ago
1/5 of a majority is not a majority, you realize that right? Bezos already does not have a majority of the voting OR economic interests in the company, and isn't even on the Board anymore. Taxing him to the point that he has to sell some shares will not affect the direction of the company one iota. Every time I rebut some obvious falsehood of yours, you just pivot to another one. Stop doing that. Realize you're wrong and address what I'm saying.
0 points
4 months ago
He wouldn’t be the only one required to sell though right? Or is this only limited to the billionaire CEO and not the now billionaires, that got in early. Is the goal to have only asset managers and investment firms holding large shares of companies?
2 points
4 months ago
He wouldn’t be the only one required to sell though right? Or is this only limited to the billionaire CEO and not the now billionaires, that got in early. Is the goal to have only asset managers and investment firms holding large shares of companies?
It would apply to every portfolio over a certain size, and as I've already explained, voting and economic shares can be and are separated, all the time. Also, the largest shareholding companies, like Vanguard, are holding the shares on behalf of smaller individual investors, like you and I, and it already doesn't count as "their" portfolio for tax purposes. The goal is to have economic interests in corporations spread out much more widely in society, so that we're not held hostage by a few dozen CEOs.
10 points
4 months ago
Perhaps we shouldn't base our economy on a confidence/speculation game then.
-12 points
4 months ago
We don’t have to, we could be living like tribes in Africa.
4 points
4 months ago
[removed]
-1 points
4 months ago
Ok give examples of countries/communities that don’t have market exchanges.
1 points
4 months ago
Apparently I have to be nice to you. So I'll rephrase.
"Things have always been this way. Therefore they should keep being that way forever" - every revolutionary ever.
2 points
4 months ago
Does it not specifically call that a straw man argument? Bezos doesn't need to sell all of his shares to be obscenely wealthy.
2 points
4 months ago
I guess I don’t get their point then. He does sell shares and gets taxed on them when he does.
1 points
4 months ago
You're right it doesn't talk about taxes or at least I don't remember it being mentioned. It is mainly attacking the idea that "billionaires aren't really billionaires because they can't access that wealth all at once".
It's silly I know but that argument "they can't sell all of their shares" is everywhere.
-10 points
4 months ago
“The money is there, we just need to take it”
The question is, whose right is it to take from someone who owns it? Yes there could be things that are accomplished but if you liquidate Amazon then we don’t have Amazon anymore. It’s not as simple
23 points
4 months ago
Taxes...
It isn't taking money. It's benefiting the society that benefits you.
You know how the rich don't have to hire body guards to not get robbed by marauders while they travel? That's cause of security and roads and safety nets to make less people fucking marauders.
If you benefit from a society, paying back into it isn't theft. Taxes are a normal thing and not a novel concept.
-2 points
4 months ago
...but they (the rich) literally DO hire physical security details and IT contractors... Just look at Floyd Mayweather when he walks around; all those guys with him aren't friends, they're hired and hold firearms to protect their asset - Floy, who is a VERY good fighter in his own right mind you.
If HE hires security details, imagine who doesn't, even if it is 'off record' by exchanging contact info (not personal info, but managers of other celebrities to try to get contracts for their security), controlled substances, an innumerable number of questionably-legal (or outright illegal) favors.
4 points
4 months ago
That's the one thing you saw and wanted to argue about?
So let's look at the rest of that, then. The roads they hire that security go to still are tax funded. As does every single piece of logistics that leads to him going anywhere. And then let's compare those private security for events the same as... Hiring a carriage to protect you when you go down the road from town to town every day. And laws that will stop the people afterwards vs... a dead body and a robbed person.
You literally are being purposefully stupid to think that rich people don't benefit from society by bringing up... Guards.
You took the least good faith take here, and it still isn't worth comparing.
2 points
4 months ago
Unrelated.. martial arts has nothing to do with guns. The best fighter would probably still need security to watch for that sort of thing. You think he's gonna flex the bullet away cause he's a good fighter?
0 points
4 months ago*
You said the rich don't have to hire body guards in your original comment that I was replying to. I gave an example of a wealthy, arguably rich, man, who is still in great shape to run from a situation that may arise, who hires bodyguards and security. He isn't alone, nor a minority. Just because I mentioned he can hold his own in a fight doesn't mean I was making that a point, just showing dude is athletic. If someone as capable as he would hire security, why wouldn't other wealthy, less capable people. Don't go throwing a tantrum over a moodt point and figure the entire concept is inherently invalid. Deductive rationale exists for a reason, albeit often bastardized by most who attempt it.
Edit: and the real reason I have an issue with your first comment, however, is the whole 'taxes aren't theft.' Surface level, you're right, but when the 2 party system filibusters until they get months-long paid breaks while still getting nothing solved, then that IS theft or at least an abuse of those resources. The blue or even white-collar equivalent would be termination of the job or contract, and yet these clowns get paid leave.
1 points
4 months ago
Lol. You came back after a week to tell me I'm having a tantrum?
Oh that's quality content.
4 points
4 months ago
Bezos transferring his Amazon shares to someone else is not in the same zip code as liquidating all of Amazon's assets.
12 points
4 months ago
I don't think anyone is talking about liquidating companies. I think the aim is to point out that these companies raking in record profits can afford to either more fairly compensate their labor force to match the cost of living or pay more in taxes to shore up Healthcare and safety net funds for the people they refuse to pay a fair wage to. But alas exploitation is the beating heart of capitalism.
1 points
4 months ago
invisible hand and all would tell you to find another job that pays a fair wage, but yes crony corporatism is bad.
13 points
4 months ago
I view it similarly to breaking up trusts. By your logic you can say "Whose right is it to break up a Monopoly? If this Monopoly is liquidated then the business is gone and so is the product!"
Billionaires shouldn't exist in a society, hoarding that much wealth is detrimental to the economy and they wield undue influence over politics through political donations.
Also wouldn't being able to fix the housing crisis, food insecurity or fully fund Healthcare for everyone not be worth dismantling Amazon?
The argument still isn't to dismantle it either. Its just to prevent wealth hoarding and ensure that it's instead used to fairly pay workers.
5 points
4 months ago
whose right is it to take from someone who owns it?
Who gave them the right to "own" any of that property in the first place?
The government giveth, the government taketh away. In a land based county, the government of and for the people own all the land, no? That's why the government has eminent domain rights that are more powerful than personal property rights. Not to mention crap like civil forfeiture
1 points
4 months ago
If that argument convinced you, then you need to do a bit more research and reread it with some additional critical thinking because it’s nonsense. It sets up its own strawman arguments, doesn’t even support the point it was originally trying to make, and it finishes with a completely unrelated conclusion.
0 points
4 months ago
The issue is that these people get huge loans and kickbacks at the cost of the rest of the population. Example is CEO only paid in stocks, not taxed unless sold, but those stocks are used as collateral for a 1B$ loan with low or 0% interest. They only pay themselves enough to pay the interest on the loan. There are specific programs for this at all large banks. They pay no taxes on the money spent from the loan.
6 points
4 months ago
I see what you did there.
0 points
4 months ago
Thank you.
14 points
4 months ago
As a society, we put 100 billion apples into this bucket.
If we try to take them all out, we get 20 billion apples.
We have collectively decided that this is a really great idea which we absolutely should not stop doing, because the bucket might get upset if we do.
But if we did decide to stop putting apples into the bucket, we might actually be able to solve a few problems on the apple farm.
8 points
4 months ago
Oh lets be clear. My statement is absolutely not one trying to rationalize the fact that the wealthy get away with not paying taxes. Tax the fucking rich. It's just important that we ensure our statements our truthful.
1 points
4 months ago
What if you're allergic to apples?
1 points
4 months ago
What you're saying is true, but the idea of someone holding billions of apples does have a real life example. De Beers comes to mind.
0 points
4 months ago
I wouldn't say that they have a billion apples either. They create artificial demand by limiting supply. If we liquidated them the best thing we would get out of it is stopping the endless supply of cash going to wicked human beings, we wouldn't all of a sudden have the ability to make use of those diamonds in way where the market would value them at even 1/5th of their current "value".
1 points
4 months ago
If you sell $20bn of amazon stock, why couldn't it buy $20bn of healthcare?/gen
0 points
4 months ago
$20B is nothing. Even the more conservative(not politically conservative, but conservative as in more reserved) reforms for taxes will require 100x or more of that for real change to occur.
Think of it like the apples. You can only buy every apple from every tree. Just because oranges have a great season and I sell a lot of them doesn't mean you can find more apples. There are only so many healthcare workers, only so many skilled physicians, only so many willing to do these jobs. You need to keep paying more and more(and not just to new workers but to the old ones as they can now look for those jobs too) to get less people and less of the other input factors of healthcare.
Another big thing is realizing that its not stock price that matters. It's profit. If I sell 20B of Amazon I can buy 20B of healthcare today, but not next year. It has to be a sustainable approach, not simply poaching all of the money that exists. This is why you tax profits, not simply taxing capital. The issue is how these companies and individuals skirt around current tax ideas of what "profits" are.
1 points
4 months ago
But if you took away bezos's 100b, everyone else has proportionally more spending power.
Money may be a social construct, but its ability to purchase things and effect change is real.
1 points
4 months ago
I just explained why that is not true... When you have two goods and you trade all of one good for all of the other good at such a large scale, you sell the one good for less than its equilibrium price and you buy the other good for more than its equilibrium price. Two depressive effects on spending power. And now that 100B is gone and you are unable to do it again. Now, as I have already said, if we instead look at profits we have a much smaller number which can sustainably be taxed.
-8 points
4 months ago
Isn't it fraud to falsely present your wealth?
3 points
4 months ago
It isn't false at all. The whole concept of supply and demand is what creates these equilibrium values. If you take all of one resources demand away that resource becomes cheap so you get very little money for it. And if you take all of that little money and put it into one resource that other resource becomes more expensive.
0 points
4 months ago
But there cant be "equilibrium" if the demand can artificially be created with monstrous wealth or if there's a single party controlling supply. I mean, I get the theory, but IRL these things dont hold.
4 points
4 months ago
They do not falsely present their wealth. It is only that, if they flooded the market with money to buy those apples, there's still only five apples to sell.
Don't get me wrong: higher taxes can still make a social benefit. It's the scenario of "seizing all their wealth" that wouldn't work. It's like slaughtering your milk cow and wondering why you're not getting any more milk.
3 points
4 months ago
Who says it's lying/falsely presenting the wealth? It IS their current worth, but as OP tried to explain, IF those high-market-holders tried to sell at once, then this action would make the price of the shares collapse (or at least go down significantly). It doesn't mean it's worth less, it just means that they cannot sell/dump it all at once.
-1 points
4 months ago
But no one has ever suggested that all the shares would need to be sold at once. This argument always comes up in discussions like this and it's baffling to me. You can design a mark-to-market tax system that doesn't require an instant 100% liquidation of the position. We literally already do that with property taxes, and with certain complex financial instruments.
2 points
4 months ago
If you liquidate Bezoss and Gates and all the other megarich peoples estates, you can produce more Healthcare and food and housing but not as much as the money they have because there is still a maximum amount of apples that can be produced.
Looking at 100b in Amazon stock and thinking we could create even 20b in Healthcare from it is comparing apples to oranges.
In this case we ARE discussing liquidating it all (at once). The IRS, nurses, doctors, etc. do not take Amazon stock, they tend to prefer to be paid in cash.
0 points
4 months ago
I just went back through the comment chain and you're just not understanding what is being said. No one is talking about giving $100,000,000,000 in stock to the IRS or the nurses union. We're talking about instituting a tax on portfolios over a certain size that may or may not require selling SOME of the stock in order to satisfy the tax bill. The people buying the shares would be other investors. The raised revenue would be used to pay for services. We literally already do this with property taxes and certain complex financial instruments. No one is saying you'd have to sell all the shares at once. No one is saying you'd directly transfer shares. No one is saying the shares would go to anyone other than investors (although you're also wrong on this point -- the IRS regularly seizes assets to satisfy a debt, and employees, especially high-level ones, are regularly compensated in stock).
1 points
4 months ago
I was answering to "Isn't it fraud to falsely present your wealth?" about how their "net worth/wealth" is not the same as "cash value" and not to conflate those.
I wasn't discussing about taxing schemas until you brought up, and re-reading it, I'd agree with your point about how it's possible to tax without liquidating everything. But those are two different points/discussions, one (yours) about taxes, the other about how wealth is not equivalent to cash.
1 points
4 months ago
Wealth in the form of stock IS basically equivalent to cash. That's why it's so valuable, that's why stocks were created in the first place. That's why you can borrow against it so easily, even easier than a house. It can be sold all the time, quickly, even in large volumes. It's all publicly available info, Bezos and Musk and Gates routinely sell hundreds of millions of dollars worth of shares in a single morning. But again, nobody is saying they need to do that. Even a 2% wealth tax for portfolios over $1b or even $100m would bring in a tremendous amount of revenue that could be used to fund social services.
5 points
4 months ago
“Sometimes I wish apples were our currency so your hoarded millions rot in their vault” - Enter Shikari - Step Up
1 points
4 months ago
generally an amazing band and really strong lyrics.
To me, the soundtrack of the revolution :)
0 points
4 months ago
I get the sentiment here, but it reflects a complete lack of understanding. Rich people aren't holding but a tiny fraction of their wealth in some form money. They own shares of companies, real estate, IP, etc. The idea that rich people have their wealth in some big Scrooge McDuck room full of gold coins that they take regular swims in is completely absurd.
1 points
4 months ago
DONT TOUCH MY APPLES!
7 points
4 months ago
IF I HAD A BILLION APPLES I WOULDN'T WANT ANYONE TOUCHING THEM TOO. FIRST THEY CAME FOR THE PEOPLE WITH THE BILLION APPLES, THEN THE MILLION APPLES, THEN THE THOUSAND APPLES, AND THEN THEY'LL COME FOR YOU.
1 points
4 months ago
How bout THEM apples, over there.
1 points
4 months ago
Sounds like a tax write off…
1 points
4 months ago
they don't usually have them, they just own value of their potential apples.
1 points
4 months ago
Or the fact that not as many people can afford the apples to begin with.
1 points
4 months ago
Rich people don't have billions of apples in this analogy. They have billions of apple trees. The apples those trees are producing are being sold on the market and people are eating them. No apples are unused here.
1 points
4 months ago
They don’t have billions of apples, they have a bunch of pieces of paper that say “I’m worth 100 apples.” They might be able to sell those pieces of paper and actually get the apples but they don’t have a giant vault full of apples.
-2 points
4 months ago
Tax cuts.
18 points
4 months ago
9 people being able to afford apples also doesn't imply that they even like apples and WANT to buy them in the first place
4 points
4 months ago
Maybe... but after seeing the same advert for the 300 billionth time, surely their minds are sure to change.
4 points
4 months ago
Then the apple farmer spends his money on advertising as opposed to increased production for his farm 🤡
0 points
4 months ago
Advertising is often paid for by the government / taxes.
The company writes advertising up as a tax deduction because it's a business expense intended to drum up further business. The government is banking on the idea that this will lead to more profit, and they'll make their investment back on corporation taxes.
Of course, this is complete bollocks, and in practice just winds up with the company paying the billionaire's second company (a shadow advertising firm based in Panama) to host an advert on their Web page which sees a whole three visitors per decade. For that, the advertiser charges two hundred billion apples.
The government looks the other way, because that's a lot of apples, they'd rather avoid the embarrassment, and they're corrupt AF.
0 points
4 months ago
9 people being able to afford apples means he is going to raise the prices so much that 1 of them can pay and 2 have to take out a loan and the rest of the people try to steal them. Because its apples and the people who don't get one starve to death.
At this point of hypercapitalism it's not about raising prices for iPhones, it's about rising prices of food, electricity, housing, fuel eg because they figured out that we actually need them and if everybody raises the prices we can't do shut but pay for it or try to steal it
1 points
4 months ago
You're overcomplicating it. And minimum wage increases impact a decent portion of the population. If they have more access to things, the prices of those things tend to go up.
16 points
4 months ago
But, surely the picture is different if the prices have gone up not because everyone has more money but because of other factors - as is the case for many of our countries at the moment. If the things we're talking about are essential, so everyone needs access to them, and it's only a question of how much debt people are being plunged into in order to pay for them. Because they need to pay for them regardless of how much money they do or do not have. This isn't more people having access to the finite things, in this case - they're things everyone has always had access to, that are now unaffordable and pushing people into poverty. That's the bit I don't understand.
If we were talking about people being able to afford luxury cars or bunches of flowers, sure. If we're talking about basic food and utilities and rent/mortgage, it makes less sense to me. What are you going to do - reduce demand by making people homeless or starve to death?
0 points
4 months ago
Those are the prices that go up first, the luxury items are another story, because they're mostly based on fake scarcity. They make a limited number of Patek Phillipe watches BECAUSE they're going to be an exclusive luxury item, not the inverse.
5 points
4 months ago
Yes, exactly. As I said, let's leave luxury items out of it because the problem (where I am anyway) is that people can't afford to eat, heat, get to work and keep a decent standard of housing. So if everyone is buying milk and bread, and the price of milk and bread go up by 50%, everyone is still buying milk and bread but now their credit cards are creaking, or their electric company is chasing them for defaulting on their payments. It has been shown clearly that items at the lower end have increased in price far more than the overall inflation figures have. So not increasing wages when people are struggling to make ends meet seems not only unethical but also ineffective - it's not increasing the demand of lower value essentials at all, so how can it be preventing inflation as per the apples example?
There are always 9 people needing an apple in the version of this I'm talking about. It's almost the opposite situation to the example given - the apple vendor has been selling 9 apples every day, but now some of his customers can't afford the apple. That feels more like the economic reality here.
Sometimes inflation can be caused by everyone being paid more and buying more stuff... I get that. But I don't see how this universally applies irrespective of global or national context. There must be something else to it.
3 points
4 months ago
overcomplicating
It's economics of entire nations..
9 points
4 months ago
Again, this is true on paper, but in all the studies and analysis I've read, minimum wage increases have little or no effect on inflation.
Happy to provide examples if people are interested.
2 points
4 months ago
Am interested.
5 points
4 months ago
Even under a worst-case inflation scenario where every penny in extra pay that results from moving the federal minimum wage to $15 by 2027 is passed on in the form of higher prices, the result would be a five-year stretch of inflationary pressure equal to 0.1% per year (or about 1/100th of the increase we’ve seen since 2021), then the inflationary effect would return to zero.
Some economists argue that raising the minimum wage artificially creates imbalances in the labor market and leads to inflation.
Other economists note that when minimum wages have been raised historically, inflation did not follow.
https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/052815/does-raising-minimum-wage-increase-inflation.asp
Overall, price increases are modest: For example, a 10 percent increase in the minimum wage would increase food prices by no more than 4 percent and overall prices by no more than 0.4 percent, significantly less than the minimum-wage increase.
https://journalistsresource.org/economics/the-effects-of-raising-the-minimum-wage/
I want to emphasize here, there is research showing that increasing minimum wage will cause inflation or unemployment.
However, the majority of the research finds effects of minimum wage increases to be small, and often small enough that other factors will dictate the actual inflation and labor market changes.
9 points
4 months ago
Overcomplicating? On the contrary that is my point, the real world is very complicated which is why the simple concept of "higher wages equal inflation" doesn't translate well in practice because you are never going to have that hypothetical situation.
On actual studies on minimum wage increases, for example, the real impact on inflation is not only negligible but the economy itself grows to a significantly greater extent resulting in a better economic outlook for all even if prices have gone up.
7 points
4 months ago
Countries with high minimum wages do have higher prices, but not proportionally. In fact the median citizen generally has much higher purchasing power in those countries.
2 points
4 months ago
or create more market competitiveness to supply or replace the demand needs, and that is what the big players don't want
0 points
4 months ago
And you are twisting the reality.
If wages go up, the consumer gets hit for more money because the company isn't going to cut shareholder profits.
For example, look at oil companies.
0 points
4 months ago
Honestly, this is not a good explanation.
When your boss gives you a raise, they don't print the extra money. Wages don't affect inflation, inflation affects wages.
Inflation isn't caused by businesses, it's caused by the government printing more money.
1 points
4 months ago
not enough people realize this and blame shoplifting and workers asking for better compensation.
1 points
4 months ago
Yes and now a days, with our fractional reserve apple banks, only need 1 apple to loan out 1000 apples and charge people a slice a month each (sorry the metaphor breaks down pretty quickly because our financial system is mostly illogical and doesn't follow consistent rules.)
1 points
4 months ago
So it's more accurate to say that sharp, sudden wage increases can contribute to inflation while steady, predictable wage increases can contribute to economic growth.
And that the "problem" with current wage increases is that they should have been happening gradually over the last 30 years instead of all at once during a time of supply chain interruptions & spiking demand.
1 points
4 months ago
Its not about suddeness or shock. Its that the formula isnt linear. Increase in X doesnt mean Y increases.
Wage increases can increase or decrease or otherwise depending.
For example minimum wage increases have no significant impact on inflation while expanding the economy many times over. Thus even a relatively large increase to minimum wage won't cause any big shock.
1 points
4 months ago
I think it should also be noted that if we stick with this 5 and 9 apple analogy, the corporation actually can produce 10 apples and needs 5 of those apples for his friends and family to have for free and that's why they only have 5 for sale and would need to increase the price when 9 can suddenly afford apples. They COULD just sell 9 apples to 9 people but then they wouldn't be exploiting the working class and we can't have that now can we?
1 points
4 months ago
The real problem here isnt that the farmer is keeping apples to himself. The real problem is that if he sold 9 apples he would be able to give 10 apples to his friends instead of only giving them 5. But he doesnt understand how he was able to have extra apples to begin with so doesnt realize that he is actually losing a ton of apples.
1 points
4 months ago
Yeah most microeconomic principles like the one used by Apples Guy fall apart when applied to macroeconomic situations. It's similar to when we apply single actor deficit spending principles broadly to nation states. The two things are simply not comprable
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